• Home
  • Horse Racing
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

2026 Lincoln Handicap Tips - Odds, key trends and two selections for Doncaster

jon-vine
Editor
Last updated: Thu 26 Mar 2026 14:13
The 2026 flat season kicks off with the Lincoln, a historic one-mile handicap at Doncaster. Key trends indicate that past winners typically have their first run in Britain, have won on turf, and have performed well in higher class races. Expert picks include Tribal Chief, known for thriving in soft conditions, and Theoryofeverything, who has shown consistent performance. Both selections are expected to shine given the forecasted soft ground. Stretching over 150 years, this race is fiercely competitive, promising an exciting day for bettors and racing fans alike.
Jon Vine 26 Mar 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Tips, odds and trends for the 2026 Lincoln Handicap
  • This lucrative handicap takes place at Doncaster on Saturday 28th March
  • Tribal Chief and Theoryofeverything feature in our selections
Expired
lincoln doncaster
The Lincoln at Doncaster. (Getty)

The 2026 flat season officially begins on Saturday, with Doncaster hosting the first major card of the new campaign. The big betting race on the afternoon is the Lincoln, a one-mile handicap that was first run at Doncaster in 1853.

I've taken a look through the last Lincoln betting and listed some key trends, before picking out my best betting tips.

2026 Lincoln Odds


Name
Odds
Thunder Run5/1
Midnight Gun7/1
Native Warrior7/1
Lattam12/1
Godwinson14/1
Orandi14/1
Bar16/1

2026 Lincoln Trends


  • 17 of the last 18 winners were having their first start in Britain that year
  • 17 of the last 18 winners had won a race on turf
  • 15 of the last 18 winners ran in good quality races last time out (Class 2 or above)
  • 15 of the last 18 winners were aged four or five
  • 14 of the last 18 winners were weighted between 8-10 and 9-4
  • 14 of the last 18 winners had won over one mile or further
  • 12 of the last 18 winners were drawn in stall 9 or wider 
  • 12 of the last 18 winners were rated between 95 and 100
  • 12 of the last 18 winners went off at 9/1 or longer

No horse has ever carried more than 9-10 to victory in the Lincoln, but La Botte will attempt to do just that on Saturday. Jamie Spencer's mount has been drawn kindly in stall 13, and he certainly seems to have enough class to cope with top-weight.

William Haggas won a record fifth Lincoln 12 months ago, and has decided to just go with one runner, the prolific Eternal Force. Ryan Moore's son, Toby Moore has been booked to ride Anno Domini for Charlie Appleby, and he'll likely get backed into a single-figure price.

2026 Lincoln Handicap Tip 1 - Tribal Chief


David Menuisier won the Lincoln with Migration a couple of years ago, and TRIBAL CHIEF (16/1) looks set for a big run.

Menuisier's charge racked up a hat-trick of soft-ground handicap wins in the autumn of 2024, before twice finishing second to the ultra-classy Bullet Point at Newmarket, with a winter holiday in-between. A slow start ruined Tribal Chief's chances when sixth in the Golden Mile, but Sean Levey's mount returned to Goodwood to win at the end of December, before two fairly tame efforts in the Cambridgeshire and the Balmoral.

Plenty of rain is due to hit Doncaster on Friday, and even a spell of sunshine on Saturday should ensure that the ground for Lincoln day is fairly soft. Tribal Chief will love such conditions, and he should have a good each-way chance after a high draw in stall 21.

theoryofeverything
Sean Levey riding Theoryofeverything (purple) win The National Racehorse Week Handicap at Ascot in 2024. (Getty)

2026 Lincoln Handicap Tip 2 - Theoryofeverything


Another who would relish soft ground is THEORYOFEVERTHING (40/1) for David O'Meara. 

Like our first selection, Theoryofeverthing enjoyed a consistent campaign in 2025, winning well at Ayr on his second outing of the season. O'Meara's six-year-old was touched off by Thunder Roar back at Ayr in September, and wasn't beaten all that far when tenth in the Balmoral on Champions Day, despite the good ground going slightly against him.

Theoryofeverthing ran well on his reappearance at Haydock last season, finishing a close fourth behind Great Chieftain. Oisin Orr's mount bolted up on his racecourse debut here at Doncaster, and a central draw in stall ten could turn out to be a plus.

Live Stream


Visit our Lincoln Handicap Live Stream page if you plan on watching any of Saturday's races via a mobile or tablet.

Verdict

Tribal Chief and Theoryofeverything are our two selections for the 2026 Lincoln.

2023 Lincoln Tip 1: Tribal Chief E/W 2025 Lincoln @16/1 at bet365 - 5 Units
2023 Lincoln Tip 2: Theoryofeverything E/W 2025 Lincoln @40/1 at BOYLE Sports - 5 Units
Tribal Chief E/W
2025 Lincoln
@16/1 - 5 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Theoryofeverything E/W
2025 Lincoln
@40/1 - 5 Units
Bet £10 Get £40
in free bets

18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at BOYLE Sports

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

28 May 2026

06 June 2026

10 June 2026

Load More
28 Mar 2026

2026 Lincoln

Hear more from Freetips.com