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Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Betting Tips - Phins to win Battle of Brisbane in Round 23

andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie
Editor
Last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026 17:20
The upcoming NRL derby sees the Dolphins favored for a strong win over the out-of-form Brisbane Broncos. Despite a brief slump, the Dolphins have bounced back with solid wins and are backed to cover the -7.5 line and surpass 28.5 points. The Broncos, plagued by injuries and poor results, have lost ten of their last eleven games and continue their nightmare season. Selwyn Cobbo and Thomas Flegler are highlighted as potential try scorers, with only minor team changes reported for both sides.
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Andrew Hendrie 06 Aug 2026
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  • Dolphins favored to cover -7.5 and score over 28.5 points
  • Broncos have lost 10 of their last 11 games
  • Selwyn Cobbo and Thomas Flegler tipped as tryscorers
dolphins broncos nrl
Brisbane Broncos and Dolphins meet in a derby (Getty Images)


Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos Verdict


The Dolphins have lost three in a row but can bring that run to an end by beating the struggling Brisbane Broncos in a derby on Saturday. The Phins can cover a -7.5 line and go past 28.5 points in the process.
  • Dolphins have won 10 of their last 12 games
  • Dolphins have covered a -7.5 line in eight of those 10 wins
  • Dolphins have scored 28+ points in nine of those 10 wins
  • Broncos have lost 10 of their last 11 games
  • Broncos have failed to cover a +7.5 line in seven of those 10 defeats
  • Broncos have lost six straight games at Suncorp
  • Dolphins have averaged 36.6 points per game during a current six-game winning run at Suncorp
  • Selwyn Cobbo has scored 10 tries in his last seven NRL games
  • Thomas Flegler has scored two tries in his last five games & also scored for QLD in Origin

Dolphins vs Broncos Head To Head

The Broncos have won the last three meetings, including a 26-12 victory in Round 4 for one of their six wins this season.

Dolphins Form - Three-Game Blip

The Dolphins surged into premiership contention on the back of their eight-game winning streak between Round 9-17, conquering top four sides like the Warriors and Roosters.

However, Kristian Woolf's side suffered a bit of a blip over the last month, losing by one point to the Knights before a crushing 66-0 defeat to the Sharks.

Those performances co-incided with star halfback Isaiya Katoa's injury, but he's back on deck and the Phins have bounced back with consecutive victories over the Cowboys (36-16) and Dragons (28-22).

The Dolphins were never really in any danger against the Dragons, with Cobbo scoring another double.

Brisbane Broncos Form - Nightmare Campaign Continues

It's been a nightmare season for the Broncos. The early injury to Reece Walsh put them on the back foot and they've never really recovered, winning just six games.

Currently sitting in 15th spot, the Broncos are lucky they're not going to pick up the spoon courtesy of the Dragons' shocking start to the year and Tigers' shambolic collapse.

Brisbane have lost 10 of their last 11 games coming into this one - to be fair, they've put up a fight over the last month, including beating Penrith.

But it's just not happening and their season was officially put to bed with last week's 30-6 defeat at home to the Knights.

Dolphins vs Broncos Team News

Only one change for the Dolphins as Sebastian Su'a comes onto the bench in place of Ray Stone.

Thomas Duffy replaces Adam Reynolds at halfback for the Broncos, while Jack Gosiewski returns from a rib injury on the bench.

Verdict

The Dolphins are backed for a big win over the Broncos, with Cobbo scoring another try & Flegler offering some value.

Best Bet1: Dolphins -7.5 Line @9/10 at Hollywoodbets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Dolphins Over 28.5 Total Team Points @23/24 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Selwyn Cobbo Anytime Tryscorer @7/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Thomas Flegler Anytime Tryscorer @17/2 at Hollywoodbets - 1 Unit
Dolphins -7.5
Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Dolphins Over 28.5
Total Team Points
@23/24 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Selwyn Cobbo
Anytime Tryscorer
@7/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports
Thomas Flegler
Anytime Tryscorer
@17/2 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywoodbets
andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Andrew has been writing about sports for over a decade now after graduating with a double degree in 2013. In that time he has covered a wide range of sports, including NRL, AFL, Football (soccer), Tennis, NBA, NFL and more.


As a fan of Manchester City (since the 90s, he’s not a bandwagoner so they say), Canterbury Bulldogs and the Newcastle Jets, he’s experienced the highest of highs and the lowest of lows throughout the last few years.

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