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Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Betting Tips - Manly magic to return in Round 23

andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie
Editor
Last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026 17:20
Manly Sea Eagles are favored to beat the Melbourne Storm in their upcoming clash, following recent head-to-head dominance and the Storm’s ongoing struggles. Both teams have shown defensive frailties and a trend towards high-scoring matches, with more than 48.5 points expected. The key players to watch are Moses Leo and Tolutau Koula for anytime tryscorer bets. Team news includes the return of Cameron Munster for the Storm and lineup adjustments for both sides. The key recommendation: Manly win, over 48.5 points total.
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Andrew Hendrie 06 Aug 2026
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  • Manly has won 5 of the last 7 vs Storm, including a big R17 win
  • Both teams have seen 54+ points in recent games; over 48.5 points predicted
  • Manly favored to win; Moses Leo and Tolutau Koula key try scorers
manly sea eagles storm
Manly Sea Eagles and Melbourne Storm (Getty Images)


Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles Verdict


Manly dominated Melbourne not so long ago in Round 17 and are tipped to repeat that victory on neutral ground in Perth. Storm are all but out of the top eight race and this can have a free look to it with over 48.5 total points.
  • Sea Eagles have won five of the last seven between the teams
  • Sea Eagles have seen 60+ points in their last two games
  • Storm have seen 54+ points in their last two games
  • Storm have lost four of their last five games
  • Tolu Koula scored vs Storm in R17 & has 1+ try in three of his last four games
  • Moses Leo has scored eight tries in his last eight games

Head To Head

Manly have enjoyed success in this matchup recently, winning five of the last seven - including a dominant 30-4 triumph at Brookie in R17.

Melbourne Storm Form - All But Over

It's been a challenging season for the Storm on many fronts and they've seemingly run out of gas heading into the final month of campaign.

Melbourne appeared as if they could mount a late push for the finals having won four of their five games between Round 13-19, but three straight defeats have all but ended their season.

They've all been pretty closes losses too - a 14-6 defeat to the Roosters was followed by 28-26 and 36-22 scores against South Sydney and Canterbury.

The Storm were level 16-16 at half-time courtesy of a Moses Leo double, but only managed one try in the second half.

Manly Sea Eagles Form - Recovery Needed

The honeymoon period is well and truly over for Kieran Foran, with his side slumping to four consecutive defeats and tumbling outside of the top eight as a result.

Manly looked genuine premiership contenders in the months after Foran took charge, but that form has fallen off a cliff and now they look outsiders to even feature in the finals.

After three 1-12 defeats to the Eels, Cowboys and Titans, Manly were blown off the park with some bad old defensive habits creeping back into their game in a crushing 48-12 loss to Cronulla before last week's bye.

Team News

Harry Grant and Jahrome Hughes remain sidelined for the Storm, but a big boost with Cameron Munster returning to partner rookie Hayden Watson in the halves.

Jack Howarth returns at centre and Davvy Moale comes onto the bench for Alec Macdonald, who is out with concussion.

Ben Trbojevic is also out with concussion for Manly, with Corey Waddell returning from injury in his place.

Blake Wilson comes into backline on the wing, with Koula moving to the centres.

Verdict

Manly are backed to return to the winners circle in a game that goes Over 48.5 points.

Best Bet1: Manly Win H2H @3/4 at Hollywoodbets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 48.5 Total Points @6/7 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Moses Leo Anytime Tryscorer @21/20 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Tolutau Koula Anytime Tryscorer @6/5 at Hollywoodbets - 1 Unit
Manly Win
H2H
@3/4 - 3 Units
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Over 48.5
Total Points
@6/7 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Moses Leo
Anytime Tryscorer
@21/20 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Star Sports
Tolutau Koula
Anytime Tryscorer
@6/5 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
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Bet at Hollywoodbets
andrew-hendrie
Andrew Hendrie

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Andrew has been writing about sports for over a decade now after graduating with a double degree in 2013. In that time he has covered a wide range of sports, including NRL, AFL, Football (soccer), Tennis, NBA, NFL and more.


As a fan of Manchester City (since the 90s, he’s not a bandwagoner so they say), Canterbury Bulldogs and the Newcastle Jets, he’s experienced the highest of highs and the lowest of lows throughout the last few years.

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