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Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL Betting Tips - Knights to dominate Tigers once again

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Sat 11 Apr 2026 21:42
The upcoming clash between Wests Tigers and Newcastle Knights promises to be a thrilling encounter. Historically, the Knights have won 7 out of the last 8 matches against the Tigers, and their current form positions them favorably. Despite major players missing, Newcastle maintains an impressive 4-1 record, thanks to strategic gameplay under coach Justin Holbrook. The Knights' offense remains dynamic, averaging 27 points per game. On the other hand, the Tigers' defense is commendable, holding opponents to under 20 points. Key player Greg Marzhew is expected to have a significant impact.
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Jeremy Darke 11 Apr 2026
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  • Newcastle Knights have dominated Wests Tigers in recent matchups.
  • Tigers' defense holds teams to under 20 points, building on Benji-Ball tactics.
  • Knights thrive despite missing stars, thanks to strategic play by Holbrook.

Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights Preview


It is second and third battling as two of the early season eyecatchers go head to head. Newcastle's attack can be the difference to maintain their recent dominance of this fixture.

  • Newcastle have won 7 of the last 8 matches against Wests.
  • Wests have scored 20 points or less their last 8 matches against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have held their opponents to 18 points or less in 4 of 5 matches this season
  • Greg Marzhew has 5 tries in 5 games this season

Head to Head 

Wests broke a seven-game losing streak against the Knights in their 20-4 victory over Newcastle in Round 6 last season, bouncing back from a 8-10 loss in Round 1. 

Six of the last 8 games have gone under the game total between the Tigers and Knights.

Wests Tigers Sharp In Defence


Benji-Ball has taken over at Wests whether he likes the term or not. The Tigers defence has been sharp holding all four of their opponents to 20 points or less while the spine of Adam Doueihi, Jahream Bula, Apisai Koroisau and now Jock Madden at No. 7 are creating and moving the ball freely. 

The creativity is coming from the strength of the pack which is moving the ball up the field, second in total run metres with 1,837.1 per game with 5.3 linebreaks per game. 

One would expect a flamboyant style of footy from a Benji-led side, however the Tigers are protecting the ball with an 80% completion rate and lead the league with an average of 54% possession. 

Newcastle Knights Continue To Work Miracles


You could excuse the Knights for being at the bottom of the ladder after losing their million dollar men Kalyn Ponga and Dylan Brown and also missing Fletcher Sharpe for a couple of games, but no, Justin Holbrook has worked miracles and Newcastle are 4-1 and third on the ladder. 

Newcastle started last season with one of the best defensive records in the comp before the season got away from them in the end and Holbrook has found and lifted that ground work.

 Besides a blowout against the Warriors, the Knights have not conceded more than 18 points in a game, while despite missing their playmakers have still managed to average 27 points per game.

The combination of Sandon Smith controlling and managing the game at halfback and the absolutely electric and unpredictable attack of Fletcher Sharpe at No.6 the Knights can clearly put up points against anyone. 

Verdict

Greg Marzhew to score for the Knights as they hold the Tigers under 24.5 points and win as the underdog.

Best Bet1: Newcastle Knights Money Line @5/4 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Wests Tiger Under 24.5 Team Total @10/11 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Greg Marzhew Anytime Tryscorer @20/21 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Greg Marzhew First Tryscorer @15/2 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Newcastle Knights
Money Line
@5/4 - 2 Units
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Wests Tiger Under 24.5
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@10/11 - 3 Units
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Greg Marzhew
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@15/2 - 1 Unit
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