Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Predictions & Betting Tips - Over game total the best bet in Indian Wells semis
Carlos Alcaraz, on a perfect 16-0 run this year, faces Daniil Medvedev, who has been impressive at Indian Wells. Alcaraz, after clinching the Australian Open and having a seamless start at Indian Wells, will meet a formidable opponent in Medvedev, who rebounded from early setbacks this year to display dominant performances in Dubai and Indian Wells. While Alcaraz aims to maintain his unbeaten streak, Medvedev poses a significant challenge in what promises to be a highly competitive match, likely exceeding 21.5 games.
- Alcaraz is undefeated in 2026 with 16 straight wins.
- Medvedev has rebounded with strong performances in Indian Wells.
- A highly competitive match is expected, possibly exceeding 21.5 games.
Carlos Alcaraz has a perfect record this year but Daniil Medvedev might be most likely to end that run. I'm backing this one to a closely fought affair with over 21.5 games.
HTH
Carlos Alcaraz is 6-2 against Daniil Medvedev including winning the last four matchups. They haven't met since late 2024.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Beijing | Hard | SF | Alcaraz | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Alcaraz | 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024 | Indian Wells | Hard | F | Alcaraz | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2023 | ATP Finals (Turin) | Hard | RR | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023 | US Open | Hard | SF | Medvedev | 7-6(3) 6-1 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023 | Wimbledon | Grass | SF | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023 | Indian Wells | Hard | F | Alcaraz | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Medvedev | 6-4 6-1 6-2 |
Unbeaten Perfect Record Remains For 2026
Carlos Alcaraz is 16-0 this year and has cleared away to be the undisputed top player in men’s tennis. He won the Australian Open to become the youngest man to claim the Career Grand Slam.
The Spaniard won another title in Doha, dropping one set before thrashing Arthur Fils 6-2 6-1 in the final.
The 22-year-old had a dominant start in Indian Wells, beating Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-3 in 66 minutes. He was pushed in the third round, a 6-7 6-3 6-2 victory over Arthur Rinderknech.
In the last 16, he defeated Casper Ruud comfortably 6-1 7-5 and then overcame Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 in the quarter-finals in another routine win.
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Height | 6'0" (1.83m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed |
| World Ranking | 1 |
| Career High | 1 (September 2022) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 26 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 2 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 7 |
| ATP Indian Wells Best Result | Winner (2023, 2024) |
Medvedev Impressive Run Continues In Indian Wells
Daniil Medvedev has won two titles in 2026, winning the Brisbane International before a shock fourth round defeat to Learner Tien at the Australian Open.
The Russian went out early in Rotterdam and Doha but was back to his best in Dubai. He beat Felix Auger Aliassime on his way to the final where he had a walkover against Tallon Griekspoor.
At Indian Wells, the 30-year-old defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-2 in his opening match and then thrashed Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-0, saving all four break points.
In the last 16, Medvedev continued his effortless run by dispatching Alex Michelson 6-2 6-4 and then brushed aside Jack Draper 6-1 7-5 in the quarter-finals
| Nationality | Russia |
| Age | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Height | 6'6" (1.98m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed |
| World Ranking | 11 |
| Career High | 1 (February 2022) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 23 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 2 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 1 |
| ATP Indian Wells Best Result | Runner-Up (2023, 2024) |
Verdict
Carlos Alcaraz might just get the biggest test of his unbeaten 2026 to date. Daniil Medvedev is also in a rich vein of form and can push this beyond 21.5 games.
Over 21.5 Games
Total Games
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Carlos Alcaraz v Daniil Medvedev
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