Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien - Betting Tips, Predictions & Live Stream Guide for ATP Montreal
Daniel Merida Aguilar is entering the ATP Montreal quarter-finals with strong form, having defeated multiple higher-ranked opponents and making significant strides up the rankings. Learner Tien, despite a recent tournament win, has shown vulnerability in recent matches, particularly with numerous break points conceded. Expert analysis suggests Aguilar is well-positioned to continue his surprising run and is a viable bet at attractive odds. This matchup marks their first head-to-head meeting, adding intrigue to the contest.
- Tien has lost 4 of his last 6 matches against Top 100 players
- The American has given up 28 break points in Montreal
- I am backing Merida Aguilar to keep upsetting the odds
Daniel Merida Aguilar is showing no fear in Montreal where he was given little chance of reaching the quarter-finals. Learner Tien has given up a lot of break points in Canada, the stage set for another upset.
HTH
This will be the first match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien.
Merida Aguilar Making an Impact
Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped as low as World No.183 in February but has made a huge rise since then.
The 21-year-old reached the final in Bucharest before breaking through to win the title in Umag. His final match in Europe was a first round defeat to Kyrian Jacquet in Estoril.
The Spaniard has proved he can compete on hard courts in Montreal, beating two Top 50 players. He saved 12/17 break points in a 3-6 6-4 6-4 win against Liam Draxl before easing past Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-3.
Aguilar has kept upsetting the odds in Canada, holding off Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-7 6-1 and thrashing Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-1.
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 21 (26 September 2004 |
| Height | 6'2" (1.88m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 63 |
| Career High | 59 (July 2026) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 1 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 1 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 0 |
| Canadian Open Best Result | First Appearance |
Tien Targeting Top 10
Learner Tien broke into the Top 20 in May and made it count, winning the title in Geneva.
The American disappointed after that, going out early at the French Open, Halle and Wimbledon. He didn’t last long in Washington, beaten in his opening match by Adrian Mannarino.
The 20-year-old has not been serving well in Montreal but it hasn’t hindered his progress. He beat Gael Monfils 6-3 0-6 6-3, Tommy Paul 6-3 6-2 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-4 6-4, saving a combined 20/28 break points.
| Nationality | United States |
| Age | 20 (2 December 2005) |
| Height | 5'11" (1.80m) |
| Plays | Left-Handed |
| Ranking | 19 |
| Career High | 15 (July 2026) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 2 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 1 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 0 |
| Canadian Open Best Result | Fourth Round (2025) |
How to Watch Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Live
- Event: 2026 Canadian Open (ATP Montreal)
- Round: Quarter-Finals
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
The Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien match at the 2026 Canadian Open is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.
Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.
Steps to Stream the Match Live:
- Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
- Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
- Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien.
- Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*
*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.
Verdict
Learner Tien has saved 20/28 break points in Montreal and it could come back to bite him here. Daniel Merida Aguilar is rapidly climbing the rankings and can win at big odds once again.
Merida Aguilar +1.5
Sets Handicap
@11/17 - 3 Units
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Merida Aguilar Win
Winner
@17/10 - 1 Unit
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