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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino Live Stream & Betting Tips - Games in Play in the ATP Montpellier Final

john-eastwood
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Last updated: Sat 07 Feb 2026 20:37
In the much-anticipated 2026 Open Occitanie semi-final, Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to face Adrian Mannarino. Auger-Aliassime, the defending champion, is an overwhelming favorite, having displayed impressive form in recent matches. However, Mannarino, known for his unpredictable style, is in strong form, having overcome multiple top players recently. The game is expected to surpass 21.5 games, showing Mannarino's potential to challenge the odds alongside the advantage of a home crowd. This exciting contest promises thrilling tennis action.
John Eastwood 07 Feb 2026
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  • Mannarino came back to win his previous matches in Montpellier
  • Auger-Aliassime was pushed to 3 sets in the semi-finals
  • I am backing Mannarino to frustrate Auger-Aliassime in the final
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Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won seven straight matches in Montpellier (Getty)

Felix Auger-Aliassime is a deserved favourite in Montpellier but the odds are very short. Adrian Mannarino has been frustrating opponents with his unconventional style, the final to go over 21.5 games.


Felix Auger-AliassimeAdrian Mannarino
Nationality Canada France
Age 25 (8 August 2000) 37 (29 June 1988)
Height 6'4" (1.93m) 5'11" (1.80m)
Plays Right-Handed Left-Handed
World Ranking 8 70
Career High 5 (November 2025) 17 (January 2024)
ATP Tour Titles 8 5
ATP Montpellier Best Result Winner (2025) Quarter-Finals (2022)

HTH


Felix Auger-Aliassime is 1-1 against Adrian Mannarino, the two matches contested when both players were in the Top 40.

Auger Aliassime Aiming for Back to Back


Felix Auger Aliassime won three tournaments last year, all on hard courts. He went out to Jannik Sinner in the US Open semi-finals.

The Canadian went 1-1 at the United Cup before suffering some misfortune a the Australian Open. Down 3-6 6-4 6-4 to Nuno Borges in  first round, he was forced to retire due to cramp.

The 25-year-old has hardly been troubled in Montpellier where he is the defending champion. He defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-4 7-6, Arthur Fils 6-4 6-2 and Titouan Droguet 6-4 6-7 6-1, his serve broken only once.

Mannarino Upsetting the Odds in Montpellier


Adrian Mannarino dropped out of the Top 100 last year, losing 10 straight matches from January to March and seven straight on clay.

The 37-year-old beat six Top 50 players on hard courts to climb to 53 in the rankings. His unpredictable form has continued in 2026, losing his first four matches, all against players outside the Top 60.

The Frenchman has stepped it up in Montpellier, beating Pedro Martinez in straight sets before saving three match points in a 6-7 6-3 7-6 victory over Ugo Humbert.

Mannarino came back to beat Arthur Gea 5-7 6-4 6-4 and did it again in the semi-finals, outlasting Martin Damm 1-6 6-3 6-4.

Verdict

Adrian Mannarino did nothing to suggest he could reach the final in Montpellier, the Frenchman continually upsetting the odds.

Defeating defending champion Felix Auger-Aliassime is a tall order, but the home crowd favourite can make it interesting.

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Felix Auger-Aliassime v Adrian Mannarino

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