Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin Live Stream & Betting Tips - Total Games Market the Way to Go at ATP Rome
Jannik Sinner, now World No.1, enters the Rome Masters in sensational form, with 39 wins from his last 40 matches and dominance on serve. He faces Alexei Popyrin, who despite an unimpressive record against top players, has found some form in Rome. Although Sinner is the overwhelming favorite, Popyrin's ability to take matches deep means a competitive encounter is expected, likely exceeding 18.5 total games. Sinner should win, but bettors may find value backing a more extended match.
- Sinner has won 24 consecutive matches
- The Italian lost on clay to Popyrin in 2021
- I am sticking with the games market in Rome
Alexei Popyrin beat Jannik Sinner on clay five years ago but is long odds to repeat the feat in Rome. The value on Sinner continues to diminish, this one backed to go over 18.5 games.
| Jannik Sinner | Alexei Popyrin | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy | Australia |
| Age | 24 (16 August 2001) | 26 (5 August 1990) |
| Height | 6'3" (1.91m) | 6'5" (1.96m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| World Ranking | 1 | 60 |
| Career High | 1 (June 2024) | 19 (August 2025) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 28 | 3 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 4 | 0 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 4 | 0 |
| ATP Rome Best Result | Runner-Up (2025) | Fourth Round (2023) |
HTH
Jannik Sinner is 2-1 against Alexei Popyrin but lost the only clash on clay.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Sinner | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Sinner | 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Popyrin | 7-6 6-2 |
Sinner Unstoppable
Jannik Sinner has been unstoppable since March, winning 24 straight matches and rarely giving opponents a chance. He won Masters titles in Indian Wells and Miami without dropping a set.
The Italian then won the Monte Carlo Masters where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final and returned to World No.1. He claimed another Masters title in Madrid, thrashing Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2 in the final.
The 24-year-old got off to a winning start in Rome, defeating Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4. He won 71% of his 2nd serves and didn’t allow the Austrian a break point opportunity.
Popyrin Finding Form in Rome
Alexei Popyrin started the year in poor form, going 2-9 on hard courts. He lost in straight sets in all five matches against Top 50 players.
The Australian improved on clay in Houston, getting past Patrick Kypson and Alex Michelsen before a 3-6 6-4 7-6 quarter-final defeat to Frances Tiafoe. He then went out in the first round in Monte Carlo and Madrid.
Popyrin has picked it up in Rome, beginning with a commanding 6-2 6-3 victory over Matteo Berrettini. He hit 22 winners and 12 unforced errors in a 6-3 2-6 6-4 win against Jakub Mensik, his second win against a Top 50 player since July.
Verdict
Alexei Popyrin has a 3-4 record against Top 10 players on clay but beating Jannik Sinner on current form is a big ask. Sinner is likely to emerge victorious once again, but Popyrin is capable of winning 7+ games in Rome.
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Jannik Sinner v Alexei Popyrin
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