2026 Men's US Open Winner Betting Odds - Carlos Alcaraz on Top after Jannik Sinner Withdrawal
The 2026 US Open men's tournament is shaping up as a highly anticipated event with betting markets favoring Jannik Sinner (1.80) and Carlos Alcaraz (3.25), despite both dealing with recent injuries. Alexander Zverev, fresh from a French Open win, offers value at 6.00 odds and could capitalize if the favorites struggle. Novak Djokovic remains a wildcard at 15.00 but can't be counted out on the Grand Slam stage, especially with fitness doubts around Sinner and Alcaraz. Ultimately, the market anticipates a wide-open battle in New York.
- Sinner's withdrawal has blown open the 2026 US Open betting odds
- Alcaraz is the new favourite with Zverev close behind
- Shelton and Djokovic have both moved from 15.00 to 8.50
The 2026 US Open is less than two weeks away and the tournament has already generated huge interest.
World No.1 and top seed Jannik Sinner has withdrawn after being unable to recover from a knee injury. Bookmakers have been busy restructuring the betting market with many players seeing their price slashed.
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz has been out of action for four months due to a wrist injury but recently announced he will return to action in New York. He takes over as favourite with Alexander Zverev close behind.
Let's take a look at the betting market and the main contenders for the final Grand Slam of the year.
2026 Men's US Open Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz |
2.50 |
| Alexander Zverev |
4.00 |
| Ben Shelton |
8.50 |
| Novak Djokovic |
8.50 |
| Rafael Jodar |
11.00 |
| Taylor Fritz |
13.00 |
| Arthur Fils |
21.00 |
| Daniil Medvedev |
23.00 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime |
26.00 |
| Joao Fonseca |
29.00 |
| Jakub Mensik |
34.00 |
| Tommy Paul |
34.00 |
| Flavio Cobolli |
34.00 |
| Lorenzo Musetti |
34.00 |
| Frances Tiafoe |
34.00 |
| Alex De Minaur |
41.00 |
| Alexander Bublik |
41.00 |
| Learner Tien |
41.00 |
| Jiri Lehecka |
51.00 |
| Andrey Rublev |
51.00 |
| Hubert Hurkacz |
51.00 |
| Casper Ruud |
67.00 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas |
67.00 |
| Brandon Nakashima |
67.00 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante |
67.00 |
Source: Stake.com with odds correct on 21 August 2026
Carlos Alcaraz (2.50)
Taking the Spanish superstar at 2.50 comes with risks attached, the defending champion out of action since April when he picked up a wrist injury.
There are no doubts about Alcaraz's ability on the tennis court, but whether he can sustain a deep run in New York after more than four months out of the game is a big question.
Alexander Zverev (4.00)
Zverev finally broke through to win his first Grand Slam at the French Open, capitalising on Sinner's early exit and Alcaraz's absence.
The German is a former finalist in New York and will fancy his chances of going one better this year, especially after being elevated to top seed which means he can avoid Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton until the final.
Ben Shelton (8.50)
Shelton's price has been slashed from 15.00 to 8.50 following Sinner's exit. The American has a strong record at Grand Slams contested on hard courts but is going to face a tough road to the final.
His inconsistency was on show in recent weeks, winning the Canada Masters without dropping a set before losing to Jaime Faria in his opening match in Cincinnati.
Novak Djokovic (8.50)
Djokovic has been another player to see his priced slashed since Sinner withdrew, coming in from 15.00 to 8.50. His last Grand Slam title came at the 2023 US Open but he will fancy his chances with Alcaraz coming to New York underdone.
Counting out Djokovic at a Grand Slam is risky business especially with fitness and injury doubts surrounding the favourite.
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