Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Betting Tips - Hosts to cover the line in Round 3
The Newcastle Knights aim to continue their strong start to the season against the New Zealand Warriors despite injuries to Kalyn Ponga and Dylan Brown. The Knights have been impressive in their recent games, particularly in attack, and are expected to cover a +6.5 line. On the other hand, the Warriors, boasting a flawless 2-0 start with substantial home victories, bring formidable momentum into this match. Key players and an expected under 51.5 points score make this an anticipated match-up. Fletcher Sharpe, a standout with his tryscoring prowess, could be pivotal.
- Knights predicted to cover +6.5 line despite injuries.
- Warriors perfect start with two dominant home victories.
- Expect Under 51.5 points, Fletcher Sharpe in top form.
- Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors Preview
- Knights vs Warriors Head To Head
- Newcastle Knights Unbeaten Start
- Newcastle Knights Team News
- New Zealand Warriors Perfect With Two Home Wins
- New Zealand Warriors Team News
Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors Preview
The Knights have had a good start to the season but face a tough test with the injured Kalyn Ponga and Dylan Brown. I still think they are value to cover a +6.5 line against the Warriors, who struggled on the road last year.
- Knights have won 4 of their last 5 home games vs Warriors
- Warriors have lost 2 of their last 3 NRL away games
- Thirteen of the last 14 meetings have seen Under 51.5 points
- 6 of the last 7 meetings at McDonald Jones have seen Under 51.5 points
- Fletcher Sharpe has scored 23 tries in 27 NRL games & crossed in his only appearance of 2026 vs Cowboys in Vegas
Knights vs Warriors Head To Head
The Warriors have won four of the last five overall, but as mentioned, Newcastle have won four of the last five in the Hunter.
Newcastle Knights Unbeaten Start
It's been a promising start to the season for Newcastle.
After averaging 14 points per game last season, they've dropped 28 and 36 points on the Cowboys and Sea Eagles, with their attack igniting under Justin Holbrook.
Dominic Young scored a double against Manly last week, while Bradman Best and Dane Gagai were amongst the top three for metres gained, running amok on the edges.
Obviously the win was soured by the injuries to Ponga and Brown, with $2.7 million of their salary cap set to be sidelined for the next couple of months.
Newcastle Knights Team News
Ponga and Brown are sidelined, with Fletcher Sharpe returning to partner Sandon Smith in the halves, while Fletcher Hunt slots into fullback after impressing against Manly last week.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Fletcher Hunt
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Sandon Smith
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Trey Mooney
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Jermaine McEwen
13. Tyson Frizell
Interchange
14. Thomas Cant
15. Mathew Croker
16. Pasami Saulo
17. Francis Manuleleua
Reserves
18. Tyson Gamble
19. Harrison Graham
20. Elijah Leaumoana
21. Cody Hopwood
22. James Schiller
New Zealand Warriors Perfect With Two Home Wins
The Warriors have also gone 2-0 to start the season.
After crushing the Roosters 42-18 in their season opener, the Warriors doubled done with a 40-6 demolition of the Raiders last week.
It was a tight start to the game, but the Warriors ran riot after the break, scoring six second-half tries.
Tanah Boyd has been under pressure to perform, but the halfback has been in basically career-best form to start the year, scoring 14 points in the win over Canberra, while he also scored a try against the Roosters.
New Zealand Warriors Team News
Kurt Capewell is nursing a calf injury and Chanel Harris-Tavita and Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad have entered concussion protocols, forcing the Warriors into some changes.
Reserves
Taine Tuaupiki comes in at fullback, while Luke Hanson makes his NRL debut at five-eighth. Marata Niukore returns on the bench after overcoming a calf injury.
New Zealand Warriors Team List
1. Taine Tuaupiki
2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
3. Ali Leiataua
4. Adam Pompey
5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
6. Luke Hanson
7. Tanah Boyd
8. James Fisher-Harris
9. Wayde Egan
10. Jackson Ford
11. Leka Halasima
12. Jacob Laban
13. Erin Clark
Interchange
14. Samuel Healey
15. Demitric Vaimauga
16. Tanner Stowers-Smith
17. Marata Niukore
Reserves
18. Morgan Gannon
20. Alofiana Khan-Pereira
21. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava
22. Jett Cleary
23. Mitchell Barnett
Verdict
The Knights are tipped to cover a +6.5 line in a game that goes Under 51.5 total points, with Fletcher Sharpe continuing his red-hot tryscoring form.
Knights +6.5
Line
@17/20 - 3 Units
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Under 51.5
Total Points
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Fletcher Sharpe
Anytime Tryscorer
@37/20 - 1 Unit
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Fletcher Sharpe
First Tryscorer
@15/1 - 1 Unit
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