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Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers NRL Betting Tips - Panthers defence to keep Roosters at bay

ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker
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Last updated: Wed 18 Mar 2026 20:07
In the upcoming matchup between the Penrith Panthers and Sydney Roosters, Penrith is heavily favored due to their strong track record, having won 11 of the last 12 contests against the Roosters. Despite an impressive comeback victory by the Roosters in their last match, Penrith's steadfast defense, which has conceded only six points over two games, remains a formidable challenge. Key player Dylan Edwards is tipped to contribute significantly to Penrith’s performance. The recommended bets include Penrith covering the -5.5 line and keeping the total score under 45.5.
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Ryan Tucker 18 Mar 2026
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  • Penrith has won 11 of the last 12 matchups against Sydney.
  • Roosters recently bounced back with a 26-18 win over South Sydney.
  • Book Dylan Edwards for a notable try-scoring performance against the Roosters.
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dylan edwards panthers
Dylan Edwards can score for the Panthers (Getty Images)

Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers Preview


The Panthers have won 10 of the last 12 regular season matches against the Roosters as well as two finals against Sydney too. Penrith's sold defence can dominate and results in the visitors covering the line.

  • Penrith have won 11 of the last 12 games against Sydney.
  • Games over the first 2 rounds have averaged 50.5 but the Panthers have allowed just 6 pts total with a game average of under 30 pts.
  • The Panthers outperform the Roosters in Run Metres, Errors and Completion Rate.
  • Dylan Edwards has scored a try in 5 of his last 6 games against the Roosters.

Head to Head 


The teams split the chocolates 1-1 last year with Penrith winning the most recent matchup 40-12 at Allianz Stadium. Prior to the Roosters win last year, Penrith had won 10 in a row which included 2 finals matchups. 

The Game Total went Over in both games last year as well as 6 of the last 9 matchups. Penrith are 9-3 ATS in games since the start of 2019. 

Sydney Roosters Comeback To Win


The Roosters hit back from their Round 1 loss with a dominant 26-18 win over arch-rivals South Sydney in a game which saw Alex Johnston take the all-time NRL tryscoring record.

Sydney had less possession and a worse completion rate but still managed to gain 1664 Run Metres and 575 Post Contact Metres. 

They still had 14 errors as well as five penalties and four ruck infringements conceded but were able to weather the storm more effectively than they did in Round 1.

Penrith Panthers Near Perfect

 
Penrith have conceded just six points in two games to start the year with a solid defence the key to two victories.

A 26-0 win over the Broncos in Round 1 and a 57th minute try to the Sharks last weekend while already leading 24-0 shows just how tough their defensive line is to crack.

Their forward pack has dominated the territory in both games, running for 1600+ Metres in both games while restricting their opponent to under 1400 both times.

Verdict

Take Penrith to win and cover the line of -5.5 as the road Favourite. The Game Total is inflated with the high scoring this season, so take the Under 45.5. Dylan Edwards has an amazing strike rate against Sydney, book him in for a 4-pointer.
Best Bet1: Penrith -5.5 Line @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 45.5 Game Total @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Dylan Edwards Anytime Tryscorer @17/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Dylan Edwards First Tryscorer @14/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Penrith -5.5
Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Under 45.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Dylan Edwards
Anytime Tryscorer
@17/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports
Dylan Edwards
First Tryscorer
@14/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

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