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Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolini Betting Tips & Live Stream – Paolini Carries the Momentum in Indian Wells

moti-prakash
Editor
Last updated: Fri 06 Mar 2026 06:22
Jasmine Paolini takes on Anastasia Potapova at the Indian Wells Open, riding the momentum of her recent semifinal appearance in Merida. Despite Potapova's strong first-round performance, where she saved three match points to defeat Marina Stakusic, her ongoing inconsistency is a notable concern. Paolini, having shown strength in her initial rounds at Indian Wells historically, appears to hold an advantage going into the match. Their head-to-head history is currently balanced at 1-1, making for an intriguing contest. Paolini's current form could give her the edge, although it promises to be a closely contested affair.
Moti Prakash 06 Mar 2026
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  • Paolini arrives from a semifinal run in Merida, gaining momentum
  • Potapova shows resilience, yet struggles with inconsistency
  • Paolini has the edge, though the match may stay competitive
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Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini of Italy practices on Day 1 of the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells (credit: Getty)
Paolini arrives with momentum after her Merida semifinal, while Potapova’s inconsistency remains a concern. That should give Paolini the advantage, though it may not be straightforward.

Paolini Looks To Continue

  • Anastasia Potapova has a 1–12 record against Top 10 players since 2024. 
  • She owns a 15–3 record against Italian opponents.
  • Jasmine Paolini has a 4–1 record in opening rounds at Indian Wells. 
  • She holds a 5–2 record against players outside the Top 50. 

HTH - Tied at 1-1

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2024 Cincinnati WTA Hard 2R Paolini 7-6, 6-3
2024 Indian Wells Hard R16 Potapova 7-5, 0-6, 6-3

Potapova Survives Dramatic Comeback

Anastasia Potapova defeated Marina Stakusic 4-6 6-1 7-5 to reach the second round at the Indian Wells Open after saving three match points. 

The win ended her three-match losing streak. This year she has recorded multiple wins only at the Australian Open and the Transylvania Open.

In four previous main-draw appearances at Indian Wells, she has reached multiple wins only once, when she made the quarterfinal two years ago.

Category Details
Nationality Austria
Age 24 (30 March 2001)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 91
Career High 21 (19 June 2023)
Elo Ranking 56 (Rating: 1809)
Tour level titles 3

Paolini Targets Return to Form

Jasmine Paolini had a slow start to the season with some disappointing results, including opening-round exits in Qatar Open and the Dubai Tennis Championships. 

To rebuild confidence she played the Merida Open last week and reached the semifinal with the help of a bye, but lost to Cristina Bucsa in straight sets. 

Paolini now makes her sixth appearance at the Indian Wells Open. Apart from a first-round loss in 2023, she has won at least two matches in the other four visits, including fourth-round runs in 2024 and 2025.

Category Details
Nationality Italy
Age 30 (4 January 1996)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 7
Career High 4 (28 October 2024)
Elo Ranking 13 (Rating: 1970)
Tour level titles 4

Verdict

Jasmine Paolini’s semifinal run in Merida last week gives her good momentum heading into this match. Anastasia Potapova showed strong resilience in the first round, but her inconsistency remains a concern. Considering recent performances, Paolini should have the edge, though it could still be a tight contest.

Best Bet1: Paolini 2-1 Correct Score @35/12 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
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Paolini 2-1
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06 Mar 2026

Anastasia Potapova v Jasmine Paolini