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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Predictions, HTH & Betting Tips - 2026 Australian Open

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
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Last updated: Wed 28 Jan 2026 17:06
Carlos Alcaraz faces Alexander Zverev in the 2026 Australian Open semi-finals, with Alcaraz holding a 6-6 head-to-head record against Zverev. The World No.1, Alcaraz, has not dropped a set in the tournament, while Zverev seeks to secure his first Grand Slam title. Despite a tough opponent, Zverev is expected to win a set but ultimately fall short against Alcaraz. Alcaraz's form suggests a likely 3-1 victory, and viewers are keen to see if Zverev can break through.
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John Eastwood 28 Jan 2026
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  • Alcaraz has a 6-6 record against Zverev in the head to head
  • The World No.1 hasn’t lost a set at the Australian Open
  • Watch Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev live in the semi-finals
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Carlos Alcaraz Alexander Zverev hands
Carlos Alcaraz will face Alexander Zverev in the 2026 Australian Open semi-finals (Getty)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Preview


Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set at the Australian Open but Alexander Zverev is his toughest test yet.

The German is capable of winning a set in Melbourne, but stopping the World No.1 over 5 sets is a different story.


 Carlos Alcaraz Alexander Zverev
Nationality Spain Germany
Age 22 (5 May 2003) 28 (20 April 1997)
Height 6'0" (1.83m) 6'6" (1.98m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 1 3
Career High 1 (September 2022) 2 (June 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 24 24
2026 ATP Tour Titles 0 0
Grand Slam Titles 6 0
Australian Open Best Result Quarter-Finals (2024, 2025) Runner-Up (2025)

HTH


Carlos Alcaraz is 6-6 against Alexander Zverev, winning three of the previous four encounters.

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2025 Cincinnati Masters Hard SF Alcaraz 6-4 6-3
2024 Tour Finals Hard RR Zverev 7-6 6-4
2024 Roland Garros Clay F Alcaraz 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2
2024 Indian Wells Masters Hard QF Alcaraz 6-3 6-1
2024 Australian Open Hard QF Zverev 6-1 6-3 6-7 6-4
2023 Tour Finals Hard RR Zverev 6-7 6-3 6-4
2023 US Open Hard QF Alcaraz 6-3 6-2 6-4
2023 Madrid Masters Clay R16 Alcaraz 6-1 6-2
2022 Roland Garros Clay QF Zverev 6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6
2022 Madrid Masters Clay F Alcaraz 6-3 6-1
2021 Vienna Hard SF Zverev 6-3 6-3
2021 Acapulco Hard R32 Zverev 6-3 6-1

Alcaraz Flawless in Melbourne


Carlos Alcaraz claimed eight titles last year, winning the French Open and US Open to reclaim the World No.1 spot from Jannik Sinner.

The Spaniard started the season with Samuel Lopez as his new coach following the departure of Juan Carlos Ferrero.

Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set at the Australian Open, beginning with victories over Adam Walton, Yannick Hanfmann and Corentin Moutet. He won 68% of his 2nd serves and saved 1/2 break points in a 7-6 6-4 7-5 victory over Tommy Paul.

The World No.1 dismantled Alex de Minaur 7-5 6-2 6-1 in the quarter-finals, saving 5/7 break points. The 22-year-old said: “I’m just really happy with the level that I’m playing every match, since the first round.”

“I’ve been increasing my level each match. I was talking with my team about being patient, because I want all the things right now. But they told me to be patient, that the level will come. Today I felt really comfortable, playing great tennis, which I’m really proud about.”

Zverev Getting it Done in Australia


Alexander Zverev has been a Top 3 player since September 2024 but is yet to win a Grand Slam. He remains a long way off Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz in the rankings.

The German had a mixed start to the season at the United Cup, beating Tallon Griekspoor 7-5 6-0 before a 6-3 6-4 defeat to Hubert Hurkacz.

Zverev didn’t do it easy at the Australian Open, getting past Gabriel Diallo, Alexandre Muller and Learner Tien in 4 sets. He was strong in the fourth round, saving 1/2 break points is a 6-2 6-4 6-4 victory over Francisco Cerundolo.

The 28-year-old defeated Learner Tien 6-3 6-7 6-1 7-6 in the quarter-finals, winning 65% of his 2nd serves and saving all three break points. 

He hit 24 aces in the victory that were a big part of the win, Zverev saying: “Learner from the baseline was playing unbelievable. I don't think I've played anyone who plays that well from the baseline for a very long time."

“Without my aces, I probably would not have won today. I'm obviously very happy with my serve, just generally happy to be back in the semis.”

Verdict

Alexander Zverev has a respectable 6-6 record against Carlos Alcaraz and beat the Spaniard at the 2024 Australian Open.

I am backing the German to win a set but be unable to stop Alcaraz’s mission in Melbourne.

Best Bet1: Alexander Zverev +2.5 Sets Handicap @2/3 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 37.5 Games Total Games @1/1 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Carlos Alcaraz Win 3-1 Set Betting @5/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Yes Set 1 Tie Break @14/5 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Alexander Zverev +2.5
Sets Handicap
@2/3 - 3 Units
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Over 37.5 Games
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Bet at bet365
Carlos Alcaraz Win 3-1
Set Betting
@5/2 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Star Sports
Yes
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@14/5 - 1 Unit
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