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Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Betting Tips - Power value for upset win in The Showdown?

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Fri 01 May 2026 09:03

Adam Cusworth 01 May 2026

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Both teams enter with 3-4 records, but Port have stronger recent form
Adelaide dominated previous head-to-heads, but suffered a big loss last week
Port Adelaide +12.5 handicap is recommended as the best bet for this Showdown

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Zak Butters to star for the Power (Getty Images)

Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power Preview
Head to Head Stats
Adelaide Crows Form - Heavy Defeat Last Week
Port Adelaide Power Form - Power Upset The Cats
Adelaide Crows Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team News

Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power Preview

The cross-town rivals have identical 3-4 records after seven rounds but Port will be high on confidence after taking down the Cats last week. They are value to get the better of the Crows in the last Showdown, particularly with a 12.5 start.

Port Adelaide have conceded just 70 points per game over the past four rounds.
The Power come off a 30 point win over last year’s Grand Finalists, Geelong, and registered 30 scoring shots to 15.
Zak Butters has had 30+ disposals in his past five matches against Adelaide
Izak Rankine has kicked 15 goals from his past five matches against the Power

Head to Head Stats

Adelaide have won five of the past six matches between the two sides and took out a close edition of the Showdown in Round 9 last season by five points, before crushing the Power by 98 in Round 20.

Adelaide Crows Form - Heavy Defeat Last Week

Adelaide sit with a win-loss record of 3-4 and come off a 52-point loss to the Brisbane Lions last weekend. They seem to be well off their 2025 form that saw them end the home and away season with an 18-5 win-loss record.

Adelaide’s game style remains built around defence and efficiency rather than volume. They rank lower for disposals and inside 50s, but their ability to stay in games through structure and execution has kept margins tight throughout the season.

Their biggest losing margin was just eight points prior to the blowout against the Lions, while their three victories have been by an average margin of 14.

Port Adelaide Power Form - Power Upset The Cats

Port Adelaide sit 3-4 and look to be on a promising trajectory with the last forntight nearly seeing them pull off a big upset when going down by three points to Hawthorn before knocking over Geelong by 30 last weekend.

They completely controlled Geelong in a number of key statistical measures, including clearances (46-28) and inside 50s (58-35) and probably should have won by more were it not for some inaccuracy in front of goal in the 13.17.95 to 10.5.65 scoreline.

Zak Butters was able to shake off the tag that Geelong placed on him with 30, while Jason Horne-Francis starred with 34 disposals and a goal. Horne Francis has had a run of three weeks with 25+ disposals and has kicked seven goals in his last four matches.

Adelaide Crows Team News

There were no injuries to come out of the Brisbane loss. Dan Curtin returns for his first game of 2026, while Jordan Dawson misses again for personal reasons.

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Port Adelaide remain without Connor Rozee for an extended period but got through last weekend’s match without any fresh injuries.

Todd Marshall was a late withdrawal due to illness and is expected to be available, while Brandon Zerk-Thatcher, Will Lorenz and Jackson Mead are among a number with some strong SANFL form that are pushing to be promoted into the lineup.

Verdict

Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide Power

Power to push the Crows all the way. They could win but take the +12.5 start as a best bet.

Port Adelaide +12.5

Handicap -12.5

@9/10 - 2 Units

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Zak Butters

To Have 30+ disposals

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Izak Rankine

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Under 177.5

Total Points

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