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Greece vs Netherlands Tips & Predictions – Oranje to Win in the UEFA Nations League

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026 18:28
The Netherlands' national football team has demonstrated exceptional attacking prowess, generating numerous scoring opportunities in their recent matches. Backing them to secure a win over Greece on Thursday appears to be a smart bet, given their form. Another solid betting pick is Mexx Meerdink to score anytime, as he has already netted twice against Serbia and added three goals for his club AZ Alkmaar. Overall, both the team's offensive strength and Meerdink's scoring streak are key angles for punters.
Vedran Ostojic 2 hours ago
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  • Netherlands have won four points in two games and created a lot of chances
  • We are backing them to outplay Greece on Thursday evening
  • Check our full preview for Greece vs Netherlands in the UNL
Mexx Meerdink has scored 3 goals in his last 3 matches for club and country (Getty Images)

The Netherlands posted close to 6.00 expected goals and fired 47 shots total in the opening two rounds. Greece deserve respect for strong start, but I think their streak is about to end. 

Key Stats  


  • Greece have lost 5 of their last 11 matches. 
  • Netherlands have won 3 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Mexx Meerdink has scored 3 goals in his last 3 matches for club and country. 

Oranje Dominate H2H 


This is going to be the 12th time these nations lock horns and the Netherlands have a 9-1 advantage in terms of victories. 

Greece's Confidence Skyrocketed 


Greece are off to a fantastic start in the UEFA Nations League, collecting six points from two games even though they were tagged underdogs on both occasions. 

Start of the match against Serbia was not promising last Thursday, conceding an early goal, but then Ivan Jovanovic's side gained control, created a lot of chances and deservedly won 2-1. Christos Tzolis and Anastasios Douvikas were the scorers.   

Hellas gave up on possession against Germany (had just 24%) and focused on counter-attacks. This paid off in the 74th minute when Dimitrios Kourbelis' shot found the net, Greece taking huge 1-0 victory. 

Netherlands Unbeaten After Two Rounds 


Xavi was appointed as Ronald Koeman's successor earlier this summer and Oranje grabbed a 1-1 draw in his debut match against Germany last Thursday. 

This clash was full of controversies, Die Mannschaft scoring a questionable goal while Brian Brobbey was injured on the pitch, while Cody Gakpo found a well-deserved equalizer in the 92nd minute.   

The first victory under Xavi was earned last weekend in Belgrade, beating Serbia 2-1 with Mexx Meerdink netting a brace (his first national appearance was against Germany last week). Oranje ended this clash with 2.73-1.32 xG and 25-11 shots. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Greece (4-4-2) Konstantinos Tzolakis; Georgios Vagiannidis, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Panagiotis Retsos, Kostas Tsimikas; Konstantinos Karetsas, Dimitrios Kourbelis, Christos Zafeiris, Christos Tzolis; Charalampos Kostoulas, Vangelis Pavlidis

Greece have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match. Arsenal's Christos Tzolis is in great form and should be the main source of danger for Oranje.

Netherlands (4-3-3) Bart Verbruggen; Denzel Dumfries, Jan Paul van Hecke, Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven; Ryan Gravenberch, Joey Veerman, Tijjani Reijnders; Crysencio Summerville, Mexx Meerdink, Ruben van Bommel

Cody Gakpo and Brian Brobbey both suffered injuries in the first two games, so Mexx Meerdink is almost guaranteed to lead the attack on Thursday.

Verdict

The Netherlands have incredible scoring power and they created an absurd number of chances in the opening two rounds. I will back them to beat Greece on Thursday. 

Another bet worth considering is Mexx Meerdink to score anytime. He has found the net twice against Serbia and scored three goals for AZ Alkmaar. 

Best Bet1: Netherlands Win Result @6/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Mexx Meerdink Anytime Goalscorer @19/10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Mexx Meerdink First Goalscorer @6/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Netherlands Win
Result
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Mexx Meerdink
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Bet at dabble
Mexx Meerdink
First Goalscorer
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Bet at Star Sports
vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast and covers European football, basketball, volleyball and handball.


With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
 
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.

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