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Spain vs Argentina Predictions & Betting Tips - Spain’s Defence to Shine in the 2026 World Cup Final

matthew-marshall
Editor
Last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026 13:16
Spain and Argentina clash in the 2026 World Cup Final with Spain’s defence underlining their status as favourites. Conceding just one goal in seven matches, Spain’s stability at the back is contrasted by Argentina’s seven goals conceded in the tournament—despite their attacking brilliance led by Messi. Expect a tight showdown but the key recommendation is to back Spain, especially for a win to nil. Keep an eye on young talent Lamine Yamal in the goalscorer markets. Watch live and check out expert betting tips for an exciting final.
Matthew Marshall 2 hours ago
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  • Spain have conceded only one goal at the 2026 World Cup
  • Argentina have been breached six times in the knockout rounds
  • I am backing La Roja’s defence to guide them to victory
Spain 2018 Argentina tagliafico
Spain last met Argentina in 2018, winning 6-1 in a friendly in Madrid (Getty)

Spain turned on the style against France to prove why they deserve to be favourites in the final. Argentina have had a lot of luck in the knockout rounds, their fortune to run out against a superior La Roja side.

HTH - Second Competitive Clash


These nations have met 14 times, Spain and Argentina registering six wins each alongside two draws.

Only one of those encounters was a competitive clash, Spain beating Argentina 2-1 in the 1966 World Cup group stage.

Defensive Strength Sustaining Spain


Spain have been the dominant defensive side at the World Cup, conceding only one goal on their way to the final. They began with an unlucky 0-0 draw against Cabo Verde before a 4-0 victory over Saudi Arabia and 1-0 win against Uruguay.

The knockout stages saw more of the same, Mikel Oyarzabal scoring twice in a 3-0 victory against Austria. Luis de la Fuente's side were the better team against Portugal but needed Mikel Merino’s added time goal to secure a 1-0 victory.

La Roja left it late against Belgium, Merino scoring another goal off the bench again as Spain ended with 68% possession and 1.96-0.35 xG. Oyarzabal’s early goal set the tone in the semi-final against France, a 2-0 win highlighting their collective strength.

Spain Team News & Predicted Line Up


Luis de la Fuente will be hesitant to make many changes here. Fabián Ruiz has started the last two games and could retain his spot in midfield ahead of Pedri.

Alex Baena has not been convincing on the left wing but Nico Williams is yet to start a game. Expect Mikel Merino and Ferran Torres to come off the bench.

Spain (4-2-3-1): Unai Simón; Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella; Rodri, Fabián Ruiz; Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Alex Baena; Mikel Oyarzabal

Messi Magic Guiding Argentina


Argentina eased through the group stage where Lionel Messi scored an impressive six goals. He hit a hat-trick in a 3-0 win over Algeria, scored twice in a 2-0 victory against Austria and came off the bench to score in a 3-1 win against Jordan.

Lionel Scaloni's side have been on the brink several times in the knockout rounds. They needed an own goal in extra time to secure a 3-2 victory over Cabo Verde before Enzo Fernández’s added time goal sealed another 3-2 win against Egypt.

La Albiceleste had some luck against Switzerland who were reduced to 10 men, Julián Alvarez and Lautaro Martínez scoring in extra time to register a 3-1 win.

Argentina trailed 1-0 against England in the semi-final but managed to get through once again. Messi turned provider, assisting Enzo Fernández in the 85th minute and Lautaro Martinez in added time to secure a 2-1 victory.

Argentina Team News & Predicted Line Up


Giuliano Simeone started against England but Rodrigo De Paul could return to the starting side here. Lionel Messi has registered eight goals and four assists at the World Cup.

Argentina (4-4-2): Emiliano Martínez; Nahuel Molina, Cristián Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Nicolás Tagliafico; Rodrigo De Paul, Leandro Paredes, Enzo Fernández, Alexis Mac Allister; Lionel Messi, Julián Alvarez

Verdict

Argentina have conceded seven goals at the World Cup, Spain’s defence breached only once in seven games. Rodri has been sensational at the tournament and I think he will guide La Roja to victory in the final.

Lamine Yamal was desperately unlucky not to be awarded a goal against France, I am sticking with the teenager in the goalscorer markets.

Best Bet1: Spain Win Full Time Result @13/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Spain Win To Nil @5/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Lamine Yamal Anytime Goalscorer @5/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Lamine Yamal First Goalscorer @15/2 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
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Matthew Marshall

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

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