Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Tips – BVB to Win is a Value Bet in Bundesliga
In their recent matchup, Borussia Dortmund delivered an outstanding performance with a remarkable 6.01 expected goals against Hamburg, securing their third consecutive win. This statistical dominance underscores their current momentum. As they prepare to face Stuttgart, Dortmund appears to be in a favorable position due to Stuttgart's recent defensive lapses, particularly observed in matches against Porto. Dortmund's form suggests they might have a significant advantage in the upcoming fixture.
- Dortmund created eight goal chances against HSV in late March
- We are backing them to upset and beat Stuttgart on Saturday
- Check our full match preview for Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
Both sides are having an amazing season when it comes to efficiency, but Stuttgart struggled against big guns throughout the campaign and recently lost twice to Porto. I see value in backing BVB to win in a high-scoring affair.
- Key Stats
- H2H Stats Are Tied
- Swabians Tamed by Porto
- BVB Carry High Scoring Potential
- Team News & Potential Lineups
Key Stats
- Stuttgart have lost 2 of their last 4 matches.
- Stuttgart have seen BTTS in their last 3 matches against Borussia Dortmund.
- Borussia Dortmund have won 7 of their last 10 matches.
- Borussia Dortmund have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches.
H2H Stats Are Tied
This is going to be the 123rd head to head clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, both sides claiming 48 victories each so far.
Swabians Tamed by Porto
Speaking of their Bundesliga campaign, Stuttgart are having a great run this season, accumulating 53 points in 27 matches and currently hold 3rd place with a 77% win rate at home.
Their form throughout March was fantastic, beating Wolfsburg 4-0, Leipzig 1-0 and Augsburg 5-2, while a draw was seen against red-hot Mainz 2-2.
The Swabians couldn’t transfer this domestic form to their Europa League journey though, losing twice to Porto (2-1 at home and 2-0 in Portugal) to exit the competition in the Round of 16.
BVB Carry High Scoring Potential
After losing 4-3 on aggregate to Atalanta in the UCL Round of 32, Borussia Dortmund are now solely focused on their Bundesliga campaign, sitting in 2nd place with a nine-point deficit from the leaders Bayern Munich.
They won all three games in March, starting the month with a 2-1 road win at Koln, followed by a 2-0 home victory against Augsburg.
BVB were behind 2-0 at half-time against Hamburg in late March, but pulled huge comeback later to win the game 3-2. Ramy Bensebaini converted two penalties, Serhou Guirassy also on target. They finished this clash with 6.01-1.52 expected goals and 24-4 shots.
Team News & Potential Lineups
Stuttgart (3-4-1-2): Alexander Nubel, Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Ramon Hendriks, Jamie Leweling, Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller, Chris Fuhrich, Bilal El Khannouss, Ermedin Demirovic, Deniz Undav
Lazar Jovanovic is out with back problem, while Dan Axel Zagadou is recovering from a muscle injury.
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3): Gregor Kobel, Giovanni Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Marcel Sabitzer, Eric Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier
Veteran Emre Can, Filippo Mane and Felix Nmecha are injured for Dortmund.
Verdict
Borussia Dortmund posted absurdly high 6.01 expected goals in their most recent match against Hamburg, earning 3rd straight victory. I like their chances of beating Stuttgart who revealed some weak spots in recent clashes against Porto.
BTTS Yes
Both Teams To Score
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Dortmund Win
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