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Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets A-League Tips & Live Stream - Value on a draw in semi-final first leg

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Thu 07 May 2026 09:17
Newcastle Jets, already winners of the Australia Cup and minor premiership, are now aiming for a historic treble by adding the A-League Grand Final to their trophy cabinet. They meet Sydney FC in the semi-final first leg, with both teams showing recent form favoring draws and under 3.5 goals. Sydney survived a tough elimination match to progress, while Newcastle have impressed with their attacking prowess. The prediction for the match is a low-scoring draw, with value bets on a deadlock and under 3.5 goals.
Andrew Hendrie 07 May 2026
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  • Newcastle Jets seek historic treble, facing Sydney FC in semi-final.
  • Both teams have drawn 2 of their last 3 games; under 3.5 goals common.
  • A draw and under 3.5 goals are the top predictions for this match.
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Sydney FC Newcastle Jets A-League Men
Sydney host Newcastle on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)


Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets Tips & Prediction


Minor premiers Newcastle Jets are aiming to become the first team in Australian history to win the treble of the minor premiership, Australia Cup and A-League Grand Final. I'm backing the avoid defeat with value on a draw in this semi-final first leg.
  • Sydney have drawn 2 of their last 3 games
  • Newcastle have drawn 2 of their last 3 games
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in 11 of Sydney's last 13 games
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in six of Newcastle's last nine games
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in the last two meetings this season

Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets Head To Head

Sydney ran away dominant 4-0 winners in Round 3 courtesy of an Al Hassan Toure hat-trick before the Jets turned the tables with 2-0 and 2-1 victories in Rounds 9 and 22.

Sydney FC Form - Big Blue Survived

It hasn't been pretty from Sydney this season, with the club sacking coach Ufuk Talay towards the end of the regular campaign.

A run of just one win from seven games forced Sydney into a sudden-death clash with Melbourne Victory last weekend - but they were able to rise to the occasion.

Devenish-Meares made a series of big saves before Patrick Wood scored the decisive goal with 10 minutes remaining.

Newcastle Jets Form - History Chasers

It's been an incredible season for the Jets, who have already picked up the Australia Cup and minor premiership, finishing top of the pile with 15 wins from 26 games, five points clear of Adelaide.

A thumping 4-0 win at home against rivals Central Coast was the perfect end to the regular campaign, with Will Dobson, Clayton Taylor, Eli Adams and Kota Mizunuma all getting on the scoresheet.

Newcastle scored 55 goals for the season, nine more than the next-best side - but Sydney have only conceded two goals under the leadership of Kisnorbo.

Verdict

A relatively low-scoring game is tipped for the first leg, with value on the draw.

Best Bet1: Under 3.5 Total Goals @7/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Draw Full-Time Result @27/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @7/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Under 3.5
Total Goals
@7/10 - 3 Units
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Draw
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Bet at bet365
1-1 Draw
Correct Score
@7/1 - 1 Unit
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