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ATP Almaty Open 2026 Preview, Draw Analysis, Top Seeds & Title Predictions

Tomasz Wilk

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Last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026 04:38

Tomasz Wilk 4 hours ago

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Defending champion Daniil Medvedev leads the field in Almaty
Three former champions are in the draw on quick indoor courts
Medvedev is our title pick, with Bublik and Mannarino as longshots

Defending champion Daniil Medvedev returns to the Almaty Open chasing back-to-back titles and a place at the ATP Finals. (credit: Getty)

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Tournament Overview
Ranking Points & Prize Money
Playing Conditions & Court Speed
Recent Champions
Top 8 Seeds
Players to Watch
How to Watch – ATP Almaty Open 2026

Daniil Medvedev returns to Kazakhstan with a title to defend and a place at the ATP Finals in Turin still to secure. The Russian arrives at the 2026 Almaty Open in strong form, after back-to-back semi-final runs in Beijing and Shanghai.

The ATP 250 event runs from October 19 to 25 on indoor hard courts at the Almaty Arena, and Medvedev heads a seeded field that includes Luciano Darderi, Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev.

Almaty has plenty of history in this draw. Karen Khachanov won the first Almaty edition in 2024, and 2023 champion Adrian Mannarino, who won when the event was still held in Astana, is also back. Bublik carries home hopes as the top-ranked Kazakh, while wildcards Mikhail Kukushkin, Zangar Nurlanuly and Timofey Skatov give local fans more to cheer.

The draw could set up a heavyweight semi-final in the top half, with Medvedev, Bublik and Khachanov all in the same section.

Tournament Overview

Kazakhstan’s ATP event began in 2020, when it was added to the calendar to make up for tournaments lost to the pandemic. It was held in Astana for its first four editions, including a one-off ATP 500 year in 2022 that Novak Djokovic won, before moving to Almaty in 2024. The 2026 edition is the tournament’s seventh, and its third in Almaty.

It’s the only indoor event we’ve previewed on this swing, and the 28-player draw gives byes to the top four seeds. Medvedev, Darderi, Bublik and Rublev all start in the second round.

Category	Details
Tournament	Almaty Open
Category	ATP 250
Location	Almaty, Kazakhstan
Venue	Almaty Arena
Surface	Indoor Hard
Dates	October 19–25, 2026
Singles Draw	28 Players
Doubles Draw	16 Teams
Total Prize Money	$1,075,160
Defending Champion	Daniil Medvedev
Former Name	Astana Open (2020–2023)

Ranking Points & Prize Money

A title in Almaty is worth $163,570 and 250 ATP ranking points, while the beaten finalist takes home $95,400 and 165 points. Semi-finalists earn 100 points each.

Those numbers matter most to Medvedev. He’s sixth in the Race to Turin, and with the season nearly over, a successful title defence would go a long way towards securing his ATP Finals place. First-round losers leave with no ranking points at all, so the four seeds with byes are guaranteed 25 points just for stepping on court.

Round	Prize Money	ATP Ranking Points
Winner	$163,570	250
Finalist	$95,400	165
Semifinal	$56,085	100
Quarterfinal	$32,495	50
Round of 16	$18,865	25
Round of 32	$11,530	0

Playing Conditions & Court Speed

Indoor tennis takes wind, sun and weather out of the equation, which usually suits big servers and first-strike players. Almaty also sits at roughly 800 metres above sea level, so the ball travels a little quicker through the air than at most hard-court events.

The past two champions fit that profile. Khachanov won in 2024 with heavy serving and forehand power, and Medvedev took last year’s title with his flat, deep hitting. For bettors, tiebreak and aces markets deserve a look in matches between strong servers.

Factor	Impact
Surface	Indoor Hard
Court Speed	Medium-Fast
Conditions	No wind or weather; slight altitude effect
Suits	Big servers and first-strike hitters
Betting Angle	Tiebreaks and aces markets

Recent Champions

No player has won this title twice, and every edition so far has produced a different champion. That could change this week, with three former winners in the draw: Medvedev (2025), Khachanov (2024) and Mannarino (2023), who also reached the 2020 final.

Two past runners-up are back too. Tsitsipas lost to Djokovic in the 2022 ATP 500 final, and James Duckworth was beaten by Kwon Soon-woo in 2021.

Year	Champion	Runner-up	Score	Venue
2025	Daniil Medvedev	Corentin Moutet	7–5, 4–6, 6–3	Almaty
2024	Karen Khachanov	Gabriel Diallo	6–2, 5–7, 6–3	Almaty
2023	Adrian Mannarino	Sebastian Korda	4–6, 6–3, 6–2	Astana
2022	Novak Djokovic	Stefanos Tsitsipas	6–3, 6–4	Astana (ATP 500)
2021	Kwon Soon-woo	James Duckworth	7–6(6), 6–3	Astana
2020	John Millman	Adrian Mannarino	7–5, 6–1	Astana

Top 8 Seeds

Medvedev is the standout name. At world No. 6, he’s 15 places clear of second seed Darderi. Below him, five players are ranked between 21st and 31st, so the race behind the favourite looks very open.

Seed	Player	Country	Ranking	Opening Match
1	Daniil Medvedev	Russia	6	Bye, then Shimabukuro or Safiullin (Q)
2	Luciano Darderi	Italy	21	Bye, then Kecmanovic or Duckworth
3	Alexander Bublik	Kazakhstan	22	Bye, then Marozsan or Skatov (WC)
4	Andrey Rublev	Russia	23	Bye, then Mannarino or Vukic
5	Karen Khachanov	Russia	27	Rei Sakamoto (Q)
6	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Argentina	31	Mattia Bellucci
7	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Greece	43	Aleksandar Kovacevic
8	Thiago Agustin Tirante	Argentina	54	Facundo Diaz Acosta

Players to Watch

Daniil Medvedev

The defending champion is the clear class act in the field. He reached the semi-finals in both Beijing and Shanghai, where Rafael Jodar ended his run, and Turin points give him every reason to push hard again. Fatigue after deep runs in Beijing and Shanghai is the only real concern.

Karen Khachanov

Khachanov won here in 2024, and his 2026 results back up his credentials: a US Open semi-final, a Beijing quarter-final and a Shanghai fourth round. He’s in Medvedev’s half, so a semi-final between the last two Almaty champions is a real possibility.

Alexander Bublik

The home favourite reached the fourth round in Shanghai and will have the Almaty crowd firmly behind him. Bublik’s serve suits indoor conditions, but his unpredictability cuts both ways. He can beat anyone on his day, or lose to anyone.

Luciano Darderi

The second seed has won two ATP titles this season and has a kind-looking section, opening against Kecmanovic or Duckworth. His game is better suited to slower courts, though, so he’s more vulnerable here than his seeding suggests.

Adrian Mannarino

The 2023 champion is a dangerous floater. The left-hander’s flat, low-bouncing ball is awkward on quick indoor courts, and a second-round clash with Rublev is winnable if he gets past Aleksandar Vukic.

How to Watch – ATP Almaty Open 2026

If you’re not watching on TV, platforms like bet365 provide live streaming coverage:

How to Watch on bet365:

Register a bet365 account
Fund your account (minimum balance may apply)
Go to the Live Streaming section
Select ATP Almaty and start watching live

🔐 Note: Streaming availability may vary by region. Most platforms require an active, funded account.

ATP Almaty Live Streams

Time
Sport
Event
Live

2026/10/19
06:30:00
AM Tennis Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Almaty
Stream
2026/10/19
06:30:00
AM Tennis Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth
ATP Almaty
Stream
2026/10/19
08:00:00
AM Tennis Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Almaty
Stream
2026/10/19
09:30:00
AM Tennis Marin Cilic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty
Stream
2026/10/19
02:30:00
PM Tennis Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Almaty
Stream
Oop's, We couldn't find events by your search parameters. Please serach with another key.

Verdict

ATP Almaty

Defending champion Daniil Medvedev is our pick to win in Almaty, as the class of the field on quick indoor courts. Home favourite Alexander Bublik and 2023 champion Adrian Mannarino are the longshots worth backing.

Daniil Medvedev

Tournament Winner

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Alexander Bublik

Tournament Winner

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Adrian Mannarino

Tournament Winner

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Tomasz Wilk is a tennis analyst and betting strategist with a sharp eye for momentum shifts, underdog value and live markets. His work focuses on delivering actionable insights, match previews, and betting tips across ATP and WTA tours.

Combining data and intuition, he aims to help readers stay ahead of the curve in a fast-moving betting landscape.

You can find more from Tomasz at Muckrack.