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Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Live Stream & Betting Tips - Games Market in Play at ATP Rome

john-eastwood
Editor
Last updated: Wed 13 May 2026 13:16
Jannik Sinner has been virtually unstoppable, riding a 26-match winning streak and reclaiming the World No.1 ranking with dominant performances in major tournaments. Despite his favoritism, matches with Sinner offer little betting value, given his dominance. Andrey Rublev, though inconsistent, has shown resilience and could extend this Rome contest. The key recommendation is to back over 18.5 games, as Rublev may push Sinner enough for a longer match, making this bet a value play.
John Eastwood 13 May 2026
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  • Sinner has won his last 26 matches, 24 in straight sets
  • Rublev is 5-3 against Top 5 players on clay courts
  • I am turning to the total games market at the Italian Open
Expired
Jannik Sinner Andrey Rublev
Jannik Sinner beat Andrey Rublev in the 2026 French Open fourth round (Getty)

Jannik Sinner can’t stop winning and bookmakers have adjusted accordingly. I don’t think Andrey Rublev will give up in a hurry in Italy which brings the games market into play.


Jannik Sinner Andrey Rublev
Nationality Italy Russia
Age 24 (16 August 2001) 28 (20 October 1997)
Height 6'3" (1.91m) 6'2" (1.88m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 1 14
Career High 1 (June 2024) 5 (September 2021)
ATP Tour Titles 28 17
2026 ATP Tour Titles 4 0
Grand Slam Titles 4 0
ATP Rome Best Result Runner-Up (2025) Quarter-Finals (2021)

HTH


Jannik Sinner is 7-3 against Andrey Rublev which includes a 3-1 record on clay.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025 Roland Garros Clay R16 Sinner 6-1 6-3 6-4
2024 Cincinnati Masters Hard QF Sinner 4-6 7-5 6-4
2024 Canada Masters Hard QF Rublev 6-3 1-6 6-2
2024 Australian Open Hard QF Sinner 6-4 7-6 6-3
2023 Vienna Hard SF Sinner 7-5 7-6
2023 Miami Masters Hard R16 Sinner 6-2 6-4
2022 Roland Garros Clay R16 Rublev 1-6 6-4 2-0 RET
2022 Monte Carlo Masters Clay R16 Sinner 5-7 6-1 6-3
2021 Barcelona Clay QF Sinner 6-2 7-6
2020 Vienna Hard R16 Rublev 2-1 RET

Sinner Seemingly Unbeatable


Jannik Sinner can’t stop winning, claiming 26 consecutive victories with 24 of them in straight sets. He won Masters titles in Indian Wells and Miami without losing a set.

The Italian beat Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte Carlo Masters final to reclaim the World No.1 spot. He won another title in Madrid, thrashing Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2 in the final.

The 24-year-old continues the trend in Rome, easing past Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 6-2 6-0 and Andrea Pellegrino 6-2 6-3, saving two break points in Italy.

Rublev Ready to Return to Top 10


Andrey Rublev has been out of the Top 10 for almost a year. He is 18-9 in 2026, reaching three semi-finals on hard courts but ending the swing with early exits in Indian Wells and Miami.

His poor run of form continued on clay in Monte Carlo where he suffered a 6-4 6-1 second round exit to Zizou Bergs.

The Russian got to the final in Barcelona without facing a Top 40 player, going down 6-2 7-6 to Arthur Fils. He went to Madrid, beaten 6-3 6-4 by Vit Kopriva in his opening match.

The 28-year-old had a solid start in Rome, registering 6-4 6-4 victories over Miomir Kecmanovic and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. He was in trouble against Nikoloz Basilashvili, trailing a set and a break before rallying to win 3-6 7-6 6-2.

Verdict

Finding value in matches involving Jannik Sinner is becoming increasingly difficult. I think Andrey Rublev can hold enough of his service games to take this one over 18.5 games.

Best Bet1: Over 18.5 Games Total Games @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Over 18.5 Games
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14 May 2026

Jannik Sinner v Andrey Rublev

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