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Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Preview, Betting Tips & Live Stream - Value on Darderi at ATP Rome

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
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Last updated: Tue 12 May 2026 18:15
Rafael Jodar, the rising Spanish teenager, faces clay specialist Luciano Darderi in the ATP Rome quarter-final. Despite Jodar’s impressive form—winning 39 of his last 40 matches—Darderi’s dominance on clay and his stunning win over Alexander Zverev make him a valuable bet at odds of 3.00. Darderi, with five clay ATP titles, has proven his mettle under pressure, while Jodar continues to climb the rankings. The article recommends backing Darderi for the upset and offers tips on watching the live stream.
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John Eastwood 12 May 2026
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  • Darderi has won 5 clay court titles on the ATP Tour
  • He beat Alexander Zverev in the fourth round
  • I am backing the Italian to upset Jodar in Rome
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Luciano Darderi
Italy's Luciano Darderi knocked out Alexander Zverev in the fourth round (Getty)

Rafael Jodar has been a big improver but I think the odds are too short on the teenager here. Luciano Darderi is playing with plenty of confidence in Rome and can keep it going at a big price.


 Rafael Jodar Luciano Darderi
Nationality Spain Italy
Age 19 (17 September 2006) 24 (14 February 2002)
Height 6'3" (1.91m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 34 20
Career High 34 (May 2026) 18 (March 2026)
ATP Tour Titles 1 5
2026 ATP Tour Titles 1 1
ATP Rome Best Result First Appearance Third Round (2024)

HTH


This will be the first match between Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi.

Jodar Closing in on Top 20


Rafael Jodar is flying up the rankings this year, climbing from 165 to 34 and on the verge of a Top 20 spot. He won his first ATP Tour title in Marrakech and lost in 3 sets to Arthur Fils in the Barcelona semi-finals. 

The 19-year-old produced another strong performance in Madrid. He beat Alex de Minaur and Joao Fonseca on his way to the quarter-finals where he lost 6-2 7-6 to Jannik Sinner.

The Spaniard defeated Nuno Borges 7-6 6-4 in his opening match in Rome before a 3 sets victory over Matteo Arnaldi. He gave up only one break point in a 6-1 6-4 victory over Learner Tien to reach the quarters.

Darderi Dreaming Big in Rome


Luciano Darderi won four titles last year, all on clay. He lost the Buenos Aires final in February but bounced back to win the title in Santiago.

The Italian couldn’t win a match in Indian Wells and Miami, but got an easy run to the semi-finals in Marrakech where he lost to Marco Trungelliti. That poor form continued with early exits in Monte Carlo, Munich and Madrid.

The 24-year-old beat Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4 in Rome before coming back to get past Tommy Paul 3-6 6-3 6-2. Darderi produced a remarkable turnaround to overcome Alexander Zverev 1-6 7-6 6-0, saving four match points.

Verdict

Luciano Darderi saved four match points to knock out World No.3 Alexander Zverev and will have no fear here. Rafael Jodar has a bright future but I think the value is on the Italian in Rome.

Best Bet1: Luciano Darderi +1.5 Sets Handicap @4/5 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Luciano Darderi Win Winner @2/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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