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Karolina Pliskova vs Madison Keys Betting Tips & Live Stream – Keys to Cruise at Australian Open

moti-prakash
Moti Prakash
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Last updated: Fri 23 Jan 2026 12:50
Madison Keys and Karolina Pliskova are set to face off in the third round of the Australian Open. While Pliskova, a former world No. 1, has not beaten a top-10 player on hard courts in 2023, she has shown resilience, advancing in her first tour-level event since her injury break. Keys, currently ranked 9th, has overcome early challenges in her matches, showcasing her resilience. Despite Pliskova's experience, Keys' recent match fitness and form give her the edge in this matchup.
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Moti Prakash 23 Jan 2026
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  • Madison Keys and Karolina Pliskova to clash in Australian Open
  • Keys has the form advantage; Pliskova returns from injury
  • Keys' match fitness could give her the edge over Pliskova
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Madison Keys
Madison Keys plays a backhand against Ashlyn Krueger in Melbourne (credit: Getty)
Pliskova has the experience to stay in touch, but Keys’ current form and match fitness keep her in the driver’s seat.

Stats - Two Veterans, One Familiar Stage

  • Karolina Pliskova has not beaten a top-10 player on hard courts since 2023. 
  • Pliskova is 14–4 in Slam third rounds.
  • Madison Keys is 22–13 in Slam third rounds (8–8 since 2020). 
  • She is playing her ninth straight Australian Open third round. 

HTH - Karolina Pliskova leads 1-0

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2020 Brisbane Hard F Karolina Pliskova 6-4, 4-6, 7-5

Pliskova’s Gradual Return

Karolina Pliskova is playing just her third tournament since a long injury break and her first at tour level. She edged past Sloane Stephens before beating Janice Tjen in straight sets. 

Those wins give Pliskova consecutive victories for the first time since Nottingham in June 2024. It is a positive sign after a prolonged absence. 

The former world No. 1 is still far from peak form, having spent over a year away and only recently returned via lower-level events.

Category Details
Nationality Czech Republic
Age 33 (21 March 1992)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 1057
Career High 1 (17 July 2017)

Keys Tested but Through

Madison Keys moved through in straight sets but had to save set points against both Oleksandra Oliynykova and Ashlyn Krueger. She rallied from 0–4 down in one match and 2–5 in another to stay on track. 

Those wins highlighted her resilience more than dominance, as she was repeatedly tested early. Experience helped her steady the ship at key moments. 

Keys entered Melbourne short on momentum after a winless run since Cincinnati and modest quarterfinal exits in Brisbane and Adelaide.

Category Details
Nationality USA
Age 30 (17 February 1995)
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking 9
Career High 5 (24 February 2025)
Elo Ranking 13 (Rating: 1967)

Verdict

Pliskova’s quality is unquestioned, but coming off an injury layoff, this may be too soon to topple a top-10 opponent. With sharper match play and fitness, Madison Keys holds the clear edge over Karolina Pliskova in this matchup.

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Karolina Pliskova v Madison Keys

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