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Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova Betting Tips & Live Stream – Comfortable Win Expected for Kostyuk in Madrid

moti-prakash
Moti Prakash
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Last updated: Thu 30 Apr 2026 04:03
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova meet in the Madrid WTA semifinals after impressive displays on clay. Kostyuk's dominant run includes not dropping a set and a 5-1 record in her last six semifinals, while Potapova makes history as the first lucky loser to reach a WTA 1000 semifinal. Despite Potapova's revival and perseverance, her inconsistency and struggles against top players give the edge to Kostyuk, who is predicted to win comfortably and continue her perfect form.
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Moti Prakash 30 Apr 2026
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  • Kostyuk in top form, unbeaten on clay this Madrid run
  • Potapova is first lucky loser in WTA 1000 semifinals
  • Kostyuk favored to win due to superior consistency
Expired
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk celebrates after defeating Linda Noskova in Madrid (credit: Getty)
Potapova arrives with good clay form, but her inconsistency and record against top players give Kostyuk the edge, likely in a comfortable win.

Semifinal Spotlight On Kostyuk

  • Marta Kostyuk has won five of her last six semifinals on tour. 
  • She has won 17 of her last 18 matches against outside Top 50 players. 
  • She holds a 3–4 career record in tour-level semifinals. 
  • She has a 4–6 record against Top 50 players this year.

HTH - Tied at 2-2

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025Madrid WTAClayR16Kostyuk6-3, 6-2
2024Indian WellsHardQFKostyuk6-0, 7-5
2023BirminghamGrass1RPotapova6-7(6), 7-5, 6-4
2023MiamiHard2RPotapova6-1, 6-3

Kostyuk Continues Perfect Clay Run

Marta Kostyuk defeated world No. 13 Linda Noskova 7-6, 6-0 to move into the semifinals in Madrid. Both players traded four breaks in the opening set, but Kostyuk raised her level in key moments to take control. 

She had won only four main-draw matches across seven previous appearances in Madrid, but she has already matched that tally this week without dropping a set. Notably, she has not lost more than six games in any of her matches so far. 

The Ukrainian started the season strongly with a final in Brisbane, but an injury at the Australian Open disrupted her progress. After early exits in the Sunshine Double, she found her rhythm again on clay by winning the title in Rouen and now reaching the semifinals here. 

Kostyuk has played nine tour-level semifinals in her career. After losing her first four, she has won five of her last six at this stage. Her most recent loss came against Iga Swiatek in Indian Wells 2024, which was also her only previous WTA 1000 semifinal.

CategoryDetails
NationalityUkraine
Age23 (28 June 2002)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking23
Career High16 (17 June 2024)
Elo Ranking12 (Rating: 1972)
Tour level titles2

Potapova Creates Historic Madrid Run

Anastasia Potapova defeated Karolina Pliskova 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 to reach the semifinals in Madrid. She had multiple chances to close the match in straight sets but had to battle back from a break down in the decider to finish it. 

This marks her first WTA 1000 semifinal of her career. With this run, she also becomes the first lucky loser to reach a semifinal at this level since the format’s introduction in 1990. 

The 25-year-old was close to dropping out of the top 100 just a few weeks ago after struggling for consistency and failing to defend her title in Cluj-Napoca. However, a final in Linz combined with this Madrid run will push her back into the top 40 next week. 

Potapova holds a 7-9 record in tour-level semifinals, including a 3-4 mark on clay. Notably, all seven of her wins at this stage have come against players ranked outside the top 50.

CategoryDetails
NationalityAustria
Age25 (30 March 2001)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking56
Career High21 (19 June 2023)
Elo Ranking34 (Rating: 1842)
Tour level titles3

Verdict

Both players come in with strong momentum and plenty of clay-court wins in recent weeks. However, Anastasia Potapova’s inconsistency and poor record against higher-ranked opponents give Marta Kostyuk the edge, and she could win this in straight sets.

Best Bet1: Marta Kostyuk Match Winner @3/8 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Kostyuk 2-0 Correct Score @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kostyuk + Over 18.5 Result + Total Games @101/100 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Marta Kostyuk
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Marta Kostyuk v Anastasia Potapova

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