Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Live Stream & Betting Tips - Arnaldi to Upset the Odds at the French Open

John Eastwood

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Last updated: Thu 28 May 2026 23:21

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John Eastwood 28 May 2026

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Arnaldi has won 8 of his previous 9 matches
Tsitsipas is close to dropping out of the Top 100
I am backing Arnaldi at big odds at the French Open

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Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Arnaldi met at the 2024 French Open (Getty)

Stefanos Tsitsipas' mentality is highly questionable and the Greek can’t be trusted as a favourite here. Matteo Arnaldi has done enough to suggest he can upset the odds at Roland Garros.

HTH
Matteo Finding Form
Tsitsipas Slipping Down the Rankings

	Matteo Arnaldi	Stefanos Tsitsipas
Nationality	Italy	Greece
Age	25 (22 February 2001)	27 (12 August 1998)
Height	6'1" (1.85m)	6'4" (1.93m)
Plays	Right-Handed	Right-Handed
Ranking	104	79
Career High	30 (August 2024)	3 (January 2018)
ATP Tour Titles	0	12
French Open Best Result	Fourth Round (2024)	Runner-Up (2021)

HTH

Stefanos Tsitsipas is 1-0 against Matteo Arnaldi.

Year	Event	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Roland Garros	Clay	R16	Tsitsipas	3-6 7-6 6-2 6-2

Matteo Finding Form

Matteo Arnaldi had a terrible start to the year, losing eight of his opening ten matches and dropping out of the Top 100. He regained confidence by winning the Cagliari Challenger.

The Italian took that form to Rome where he defeated Jaume Munar and Alex de Minaur. He went close against Rafael Jodar in the third round, saving 3/10 break points in a 3 sets defeat.

Arnaldi came through a tough clash at Roland Garros, getting past Tallon Griekspoor 6-7 6-3 7-6 6-3 in four hours. He won 65% of his 2nd serves and saved all five break points, hitting 61 winners and 34 unforced errors.

Tsitsipas Slipping Down the Rankings

Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur on hard courts to sneak back into the Top 50. He got to one quarter-final which came in Doha.

The Greek lost his opening two matches on clay but went deeper in Madrid, blowing two match points in a 6-7 7-6 7-6 fourth round defeat to Casper Ruud. He disappointed after that, going out in the first round in Rome and second round in Geneva.

The 27-year-old hasn’t been tested at Roland Garros, leading 6-2 3-0 when Alexandre Muller retired.

Verdict

Matteo Arnaldi v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Matteo Arnaldi has picked up his form and came through a tough first round clash at Roland Garros. The odds are way too short on Stefanos Tsitsipas, Arnaldi favoured to reach the third round.

Matteo Arnaldi Win

Winner

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Matteo Arnaldi Win 3-1

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Graduated from the University of Portsmouth in 2008 with a BA in English Literature before completing MA in Journalism. Began his career as a sports journalist in London before moving to the Middle East to work as a sports editor for national media companies in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. Favourite Sports: Tennis, Boxing, Golf.