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Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Live Stream & Betting Tips - Jodar to Advance at Roland Garros

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
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Last updated: Thu 28 May 2026 14:21
Rafael Jodar is predicted to showcase his rising class against Alex Michelsen in their first-ever meeting at the French Open 2026. Michelsen has struggled on clay, especially versus top opponents, while Jodar enters in red-hot form, having dropped just one serve in his last 6 matches. Jodar’s superior recent record and strong performance on clay make him the clear favorite, with experts recommending a bet on Jodar to win in straight sets. Catch all the action live with the streaming guide included in the preview.
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John Eastwood 28 May 2026
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  • Michelsen has a 2-8 record against Top 50 players on clay
  • Jodar has given up just 4 break points at the French Open
  • I am backing the teenage sensation to win at Roland Garros
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Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar has won 17 of his last 20 matches (Getty)

Alex Michelsen is not at his best on clay where he has lost five straight matches to Top 50 players. Rafael Jodar should be too good here, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Spaniard win in straight sets.


 Alex Michelsen Rafael Jodar
Nationality United States Spain
Age 21 (25 August 2004) 19 (17 September 2006)
Height 6'4" (1.93m) 6'3" (1.91m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 42 29
Career High 30 (July 2025) 29 (May 2026)
ATP Tour Titles 0 1
2026 ATP Tour Titles 0 1
French Open Best Result First Round (2024, 2025) First Appearance

HTH


This will be the first match between Alex Michelsen and Rafael Jodar.

Michelsen Below his Best on Clay


Alex Michelsen reached the Brisbane International semi-finals in January but had to wait a long time to get to another quarter-final. It came in Geneva last week where he went down 6-4 3-6 6-1 to Learner Tien.

It was the 21-year-old’s fifth straight defeat to a Top 50 player. He has a 2-8 career record against Top 50 players on clay, compared to 18-31 on hard courts.

The American has taken advantage of a soft draw at Roland Garros, beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-4 6-2 and Nishesh Basavareddy 7-6 6-3 3-6 6-3. He saved a combined 9/14 in Paris.

Jodar Surging to Top 20


Rafael Jodar has risen from 165 to 29 in the rankings this year, winning his first ATP Tour title in Marrakech.

The 19-year-old lost to Arthur Fils in the Barcelona semi-finals and Jannik Sinner in the Madrid quarter-finals. He got to another quarter-final in Rome, fading in a 3 sets defeat to Luciano Darderi.

The Spaniard spanked Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-1 6-0 6-4 in the French Open first round, allowing one break point. He appeared set for a rapid victory against James Duckworth before coming through 6-1 6-7 6-4 7-5.

Verdict

Rafael Jodar has a great chance to go deep at the French Open and is unlikely to let this one slip. I am not trusting Alex Michelsen on clay against Top 50 players, Jodar to get this one done in straight sets.

Best Bet1: Rafael Jodar -1.5 Sets Handicap @1/2 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Rafael Jodar Win 3-0 Set Betting @23/17 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Rafael Jodar -1.5
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