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Sao Tome & Principe vs Ethiopia Betting Tips - Ethiopia set for away victory in AFCON qualifier

ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth
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Last updated: Wed 25 Mar 2026 21:42
Ethiopia appears to be in a stronger position as they prepare to face Sao Tome & Principe in the Africa Cup of Nations preliminary round. While Ethiopia has had a mixed performance, they’ve shown more consistency than their opponents, Sao Tome & Principe, who have struggled in recent fixtures. Key stats reveal that Sao Tome has lost four out of their last five games, highlighting a weak defense. Analysts predict a win-to-nil for Ethiopia with a likely score of 2-0, leveraging their relative stability and stronger performance in recent matches.
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Ralph Staniforth 25 Mar 2026
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  • Ethiopia predicted to win 2-0 against Sao Tome & Principe in Africa Cup qualifier.
  • Sao Tome & Principe has weak form, with 4 losses in last 5 matches.
  • Ethiopia seen as more stable, winning 2 of their last 5 fixtures.
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Ethiopia
Ethiopia have been in fair form in recent matches (Getty Images)

Ethiopia are not very consistent but they have played strong sides than their hosts. I am backing an away win to nil.

Key Stats - Hosts in Poor Form


  • Sao Tome & Principe have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures.
  • Sao Tome & Principe have scored 4 goals in 5 games.
  • Sao Tome & Principe have conceded 16 goals in 5 matches.
  • Ethiopia have won 2 of their last 5 fixtures.
  • Ethiopia have scored 8 goals in 5 matches.
  • Ethiopia have conceded 7 goals in 5 games. 

Share of the Spoils


These sides have met just twice with each coming out on top once.

Sao Tome & Principe Poor in 2025


Sao Tome & Principe played four FIFA World Cup qualification matches between September and October last year.

They lost 3-2 to Equatorial Guinea, 3-0 to Namibia, and 6-0 to Tunisia before securing a shock 1-0 victory over Malawi. 

The True Patriots have recorded one victory in their last five fixtures, with four defeats. They scored four goals and conceded 16.

Sao Tome & Principe will aim to reproduce a similar performance that got them over the line against Malawi, but they face a tricky test against Ethiopia, as their opponents have fairly good form. 

Ethiopian Struggles


Ethiopia struggled to win their recent FIFA World Cup qualifiers in September and October last year. 

They lost 2-0 to Egypt, 2-0 to Sierra Leone, and beat Guinea-Bissau 1-0 before losing 3-1 to Burkina Faso. 

The Walia Ibex have won two of their last five matches, suffering three defeats. They scored eight goals and conceded seven. 

Ethiopia will fancy their chances against Sao Tome & Principe, as their opponents have seldom won their matches in recent years and have a suspect defence. 

Sao Tome & Principe vs Ethiopia Squads


Sao Tome & Principe 

Goalkeepers: Pedro Mateus, Saiel Ramos, Yaniel Bonfim
Defenders: Rogério Fernandes, Adjakson Ramos, Gilberto Almeida, Edley Montoia, Ricardo Fernandes, Adjeil Neves
Midfielders: Paulo Lima, Nicola Bragança, Joel Neves, Waldimilson Santos
Forwards: Marcos Barbeiro, Kelve Semedo, Pedro Monteiro, Sérgio Male, Luis Costa (Dola), Hélder Samuel (Samuca), Ricardo Gué Cardoso, Ronaldo Lumungo, Gil Carvalho, Luis Leal

Ethiopia

Goalkeepers: Abubeker Nura, Firew Getahun, Seid Habtamu
Defenders: Alembirhan Yigzaw, Asrat Tonjo, Yared Kassaye, Abduselem Yesouf, Yared Baye, Ramkel James, Mignot Debebe, Girum Hagos
Midfielders: Habtamu Terkeste, Gatuoch Panom, Biruk Endale, Bizuayehu Seife, Wogene Gezahegn, Binyam Ayten
Forwards: Chernet Gugsa, Mesfin Tafesse, Abubeker Sanni, Kabbe Bizuneh, Abel Yalew, Kenean Markineh

Verdict

Ethiopia enter the first leg of their Africa Cup of Nations preliminary round match in better form than Sao Tome & Principe and are tipped to produce a win-to-nil victory with a 2-0 score at the final whistle.

Best Bet1: Ethiopia Win To Nil Win To Nil @11/8 at Hollywood bets - 5 Units
Best Bet2: Ethiopia/BTTS No Result/BTTS @11/8 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet3: Ethiopia 2-0 Correct Score @6/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Ethiopia Win To Nil
Win To Nil
@11/8 - 5 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Bet at Hollywood bets
Ethiopia/BTTS No
Result/BTTS
@11/8 - 4 Units
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Bet at bet365
Ethiopia 2-0
Correct Score
@6/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports

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