Belgium vs Turkey Tips & Predictions – Open Contest in the UEFA Nations League
Turkey has displayed impressive expected goals (xG) stats in their last two UEFA Nations League matches, indicating they deserved to score more than just one goal. As they approach a crucial match in Liège against Belgium, Turkey is likely to adopt an aggressive, forward-minded strategy, seeking the points they need. Fans should expect a match filled with attacking plays and high energy from the Turkish side as they aim to capitalize on their strong offensive metrics.
- Belgium's attacking trio has a lot of scoring potential
- Turkey recorded high xG in their opening two UNL matches
- Check our full preview for Belgium vs Turkey below
Turkey are forced to approach this match offensively and seek much-needed victory to stay in the playoff race. This should lead us into a high scoring affair since both sides have high scoring potential.
Key Stats
- Belgium have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Belgium have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches against Turkey.
- Turkey have seen BTTS & over 3.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches.
H2H Tied
Almost half of previous head to head meetings ended without a winner (5 out of 11), while both nations secured three victories each.
Decent Start for Belgium
Belgium had a furious first half against Italy in their UNL opening match, missing a couple of chances before PSG's Mika Godts broke the deadlock in the 20th minute. Later, they focused on counter-attacks and doubled their lead through Dodi Lukebakio, winning the clash 2-0.
This was also the debut for the new national coach Mark van Bommel who replaced Rudi Garcia after the World Cup 2026 where the Red Devils reached quarterfinals and lost to Spain 2-1.
In the second round, Belgium hosted France and lost 1-0 at home, conceding just before stoppage time. Dodi Lukebakio and Charles De Ketelaere missed big chances to score before that.
Turkey at the Bottom
Vincenzo Montella is under a lot of pressure after Turkey had disastrous run at the World Cup 2026 while also starting the new UEFA Nations League campaign with back to back defeats.
The Crescent Stars were beaten in the first round by France 1-0 where they probably deserved more, ending the clash with 1.21-1.17 expected goals and missing two big chances.
Their defending was terrible in the second clash, also played at home, against Italy, conceding three goals in just 27 minutes and losing the encounter 4-1. Baris Yilmaz scored a consolation goal in the second half.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Belgium (4-2-3-1) Senne Lammens; Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Joaquin Seys; Youri Tielemans, Romeo Lavia; Dodi Lukebakio, Kevin De Bruyne, Mika Godts; Charles De Ketelaere
Belgium have to alter their attacking setup following a suspension for Diego Moreira, which opens the door for Dodi Lukebakio to start alongside Kevin De Bruyne and Mika Godts. Additionally, Romeo Lavia and Mike Penders face late fitness tests, while Thibaut Courtois and Jeremy Doku are notable squad absentees.
Belgium have to alter their attacking setup following a suspension for Diego Moreira, which opens the door for Dodi Lukebakio to start alongside Kevin De Bruyne and Mika Godts. Additionally, Romeo Lavia and Mike Penders face late fitness tests, while Thibaut Courtois and Jeremy Doku are notable squad absentees.
Turkey (3-4-2-1) Ugurcan Cakir; Zeki Celik, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Ozan Kabak; Oguz Aydin, Salih Ozcan, Orkun Kokcu, Ferdi Kadioglu; Arda Guler, Baris Alper Yilmaz, Can Uzun
Turkey have welcomed back goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir from suspension after suffering a heavy defeat to Italy. Head coach Vincenzo Montella have also recalled Abdulkerim Bardakci and Ferdi Kadioglu.
Turkey have welcomed back goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir from suspension after suffering a heavy defeat to Italy. Head coach Vincenzo Montella have also recalled Abdulkerim Bardakci and Ferdi Kadioglu.
Verdict
Turkey had high xG in both of their UNL matches so far and should have scored more than one goal. They need points here so expect an aggressive approach and plenty of action in Liege.
BTTS Yes
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With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.
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