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Croatia vs England Tips & Predictions - Three Lions to Keep Winning in the Nations League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026 12:03
England is poised for another victory in the Nations League as they face Croatia, whose recent form against elite opponents has been underwhelming. England’s strong performance away from home boosts their confidence, making them firm favorites for this encounter. The key recommendation is to back England to win, with odds of 1.91 highlighting the betting value. This prediction is informed by recent performances and England's consistent ability to deliver results on the road.
Alex Waite 28 minutes ago
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  • Croatia were thrashed 4-1 against Spain on Tuesday
  • England are on a long winning streak on the road
  • Stick with an away win in the Nations League
England
England have won their last 8 away matches (Getty)

Croatia vs England Preview


Croatia have struggled to compete with the higher-ranked nations recently. England have a top away record under Thomas Tuchel and can keep winning in Rijeka. 

England on an 8 Match Winning Streak


  • Croatia have lost 2 of their last 3 games.
  • Croatia have lost 3 consecutive matches against England.
  • England have won their last 8 away games. 

H2H - Three Lions on Top


England have a 7-3 advantage against Croatia, alongside two draws.

Croatia Lose Against Quality Opponents


Croatia are in inconsistent form and have lost five of their previous nine matches in all competitions. All five losses have come against higher-ranked sides. 

The Blazers saw recent defeats against England 4-2 and Portugal 2-1 at the 2026 World Cup. They allowed over 2 XG in those two losses.

Slaven Bilic was named as the new manager ahead of the Nations League and led Croatia to a 2-1 victory in the Czech Republic.

Bilic’s side couldn’t maintain momentum and lost 4-1 against Spain. Croatia faced seven shots on target, allowed 1.81 XG and Dion Beljo scored a consolation goal. 

England Travel Well Under Tuchel


England have a strong recent away record against European sides. The Three Lions have won eight consecutive games on the road, scoring 23 and conceding once.

Thomas Tuchel’s side reached the semi-final of the 2026 World Cup, winning four games. They were eliminated in the final four against Argentina after a 2-1 defeat.

The Three Lions began the Nations League with a 3-2 home loss to Spain. England led 2-1 at half time at Wembley before conceding two late goals.

Tuchel’s outfit hit back and extended their winning streak away with a comfortable 2-0 triumph in the Czech Republic. Anthony Gordon and Harry Kane scored and England had 1.48-0.32 XG. 

Predicted Starting Lineups, Squads & Team News


Croatia (4-2-3-1): Dominik Livakovic; Ivan Smolcic, Josip Sutalo, Marin Pongracic, Joskov Gvardiol; Luka Modric, Mateo Kovacic; Franjo Ivanovic, Petar Sucic, Ivan Perisic; Dion Beljo

Defenders Martin Erlic and Josip Juranovic missed the September internationals due to injuries.

Full-back Josip Stanisic was unavailable for the Spain match following illness and could return to the squad. 

Goalkeepers: Dominik Livakovic, Dominik Kotarski, Ivor Pandur
Defenders: Josko Gvardiol, Josip Sutalo, Josip Stanisic, Marin Pongracic, Luka Vuskovic, Ivan Smolcic
Midfielders: Luka Modric, Mateo Kovacic, Mario Pasalic, Nikola Vlasic, Lovro Majer, Martin Baturina, Luka Sucic, Petar Sucic, Kristijan Jakic, Josip Misic
Forwards: Ivan Perisic, Andrej Kramaric, Ante Budimir, Marco Pasalic, Petar Musa, Igor Matanovic, Franjo Ivanovic, Dion Beljo

England (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford; Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guehi, Lewis Hall; Elliot Anderson, Jude Bellingham; Bukayo Saka, Morgan Rogers, Anthony Gordon; Harry Kane

Nico O’Reilly missed the Czech Republic match due to injury. Thomas Tuchel was unsure about the defender’s fitness and said, “It was because of minor issues. But there are still issues.”

Goalkeepers: Jordan Pickford, James Trafford, Jason Steele
Defenders: Marc Guehi, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ezri Konsa, Nico O'Reilly, Jarell Quansah, Lewis Hall, Trevoh Chalobah, Jarrad Branthwaite
Midfielders: Jude Bellingham, Elliot Anderson, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Morgan Gibbs-White, James Garner, Alex Scott
Forwards: Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka, Anthony Gordon, Eberechi Eze, Morgan Rogers, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Rio Ngumoha

Verdict

Croatia have been patchy recently and rarely trouble top-class opposition. England play with confidence on the road and can win again in the Nations League.

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alex-waite
Alex Waite

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst

Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.

Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.

Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at LinkedIn, Twitter and Game Day Stories SubStack.

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