Denmark vs Portugal Predictions & Betting Tips - Close Contest Expected in the Nations League
Denmark host Portugal in a closely matched UEFA Nations League fixture. The Danes have formidable home form, undefeated in 17 of their last 18 competitive matches in Copenhagen, while Portugal come in with momentum, having lost only once in 12 Nations League games. Despite Portugal’s strong record, recent luck and Denmark’s home advantage suggest a tight contest. Prediction leans toward a draw (1-1), with Denmark likely to trouble Portugal. Both sides are missing key players and field strong squads, promising an intriguing clash.
- Denmark are very hard to beat at home
- Portugal had some luck in their victory in Norway
- I am predicting a close match to end in a draw
Denmark are strong in Copenhagen where they beat Portugal last year. Portugal are the stronger team on paper, but breaking down the Danes in their home stadium could prove problematic.
Key Stats
- Denmark are unbeaten in 17 of their last 18 competitive home games
- Denmark are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 competitive home games against Portugal.
- Portugal are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches (Nations League).
HTH
Portugal have a 12-4 advantage against Denmark alongside two draws.
They last met in the 2025 Nations League quarter-finals, Portugal overcoming a 1-0 deficit to win the second leg 5-2 in extra time.
Denmark Bouncing Back
Denmark failed to qualify for the World Cup after a 4-2 defeat in Scotland on the final matchday. They lost a penalty shootout to the Czech Republic in the playoff final.
Brian Riemer’s side played two friendlies in June, beginning with a 0-0 draw against DR Congo. Christian Eriksen collapsed on the pitch against Ukraine which saw the game abandoned, and it appears he may never play again.
The Danes trailed Norway 2-0 in the Nations League before goals to Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Hojlund squared it up. They were unable to stop Erling Haaland, going down 3-2 in a close clash.
Denmark returned to Copenhagen where they were too good for Wales. Gustav Isaksen scored after an own goal to secure a 2-0 victory, ending the contest with 20-10 shots and 1.39-0.62 xG.
Denmark Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up
Goalkeepers: Andreas Jungdal, Mads Hermansen, Filip Jörgensen
Defenders: Joachim Andersen, Oliver Provstgaard, Joakim Maehle, Rasmus Kristensen, Victor Bak Jensen, Victor Nelsson
Midfielders: Thomas Jorgensen, Victor Froholdt, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Nikolas Nartey, Mads Bidstrup, Morten Hjulmand, Mikkel Damsgaard
Forwards: Andreas Skov Olsen, Adam Daghim, Mohamed Daramy, Rasmus Hojlund, Kasper Hogh, Gustav Isaksen
Patrick Dorgu was injured against Wales and has been sent home, Mohamed Daramy set to start out wide. Victor Froholdt is a chance to return to the starting side.
Alexander Bah, Andreas Christensen, Albert Gronbaek and Kasper Dolberg are injured with Nikolas Nartey and Andreas Skov Olsen added to the squad.
Denmark (4-2-3-1): Filip Jörgensen; Rasmus Kristensen, Joachim Andersen, Oliver Provstgaard, Joakim Maehle; Morten Hjulmand, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg; Gustav Isaksen, Mikkel Damsgaard, Mohamed Daramy; Rasmus Hojlund
Portugal Take Top Spot
Portugal were below their best at the World Cup, finishing second behind Colombia in the group stage. Gonçalo Ramos scored in added time to secure a 2-1 victory against Croatia in the first knockout round.
The Seleção exited the tournament out in the Round of 16 after a 1-0 defeat to Spain. They took the champions to added time but there were few complaints in Dallas.
Portugal began the Nations League with a 1-0 win against Wales. João Félix scored early but they had to hold on under pressure after Ronaldo wasted a fantastic opportunity to make it 2-0.
Félix scored first again in a 2-1 win in Norway where they had 38% possession, 12-22 shots and 1.04-2.52 xG. They were pegged back before Gonçalo Ramos restored the lead, Ronaldo an unused substitute.
Portugal Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up
Goalkeepers: Diogo Costa, Rui Silva, Samuel Soares
Defenders: Rúben Dias, João Cancelo, Nuno Mendes, Diogo Dalot, Gonçalo Inácio, Renato Veiga, Tomás Araújo, Nuno Tavares
Midfielders: Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, Rúben Neves, Vitinha, João Palhinha, João Neves
Forwards: Cristiano Ronaldo, João Félix, Rafael Leão, Pedro Neto, Gonçalo Ramos, Francisco Conceição, Francisco Trincão, Fábio Silva
Bruno Fernandes missed the match in Norway due to injury but is back in training. Francisco Conceição picked up a knock in Oslo and is unlikely to feature here.
Cristiano Ronaldo didn’t get off the bench on Sunday, the first time in a competitive game for his nation since 2008.
Portugal (4-4-1-1): Diogo Costa; João Cancelo; Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes; Pedro Neto, Vitinha, Rúben Neves, Rafael Leão; João Félix; Gonçalo Ramos
Verdict
Portugal lost in Denmark last year and had some good fortune in their victory in Norway. The Danes don’t lose very often in Copenhagen where I am expecting a tight clash.
Draw
Full Time Result
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1-1 Draw
Correct Score
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