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Wales vs Norway Predictions & Betting Tips - Haaland to Fire Norway to Victory in the Nations League

matthew-marshall
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Last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026 18:15
Norway is backed to secure a win over Wales in their UEFA Nations League clash, thanks in large part to Erling Haaland's prolific goal-scoring form—netting 10 goals in his last 7 matches. Despite Wales' occasional defensive solidity and home advantage, recent struggles in the league and key injuries weaken their case. Norway's dynamic attack, strong recent record, and motivation to bounce back after a narrow loss to Portugal position them as favorites for the away win. Expect a competitive game, but Norway’s firepower gives them the edge.
Matthew Marshall 3 hours ago
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  • Wales have been struggling in League A of the Nations League
  • Erling Haaland has scored 10 goals in his last 7 games for Norway
  • I am backing Haaland to fire the visitiors to victory in Cardiff
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland has scored 65 goals in 57 games for Norway (Getty)

Norway will be desperate to get back to winning ways after an unlucky defeat to Portugal. They have the weapons to win in Wales where Erling Haaland is likely to continue his incredible form up front.

Key Stats


  • Wales have lost 7 of their last 8 matches in League A (Nations League).
  • Norway have won 15 of their last 18 competitive matches.
  • Norway’s Erling Haaland has scored 10 goals in his last 7 matches for club and country.

HTH


Norway have have a 4-3 advantage against Wales alongside four draws.

The last meeting came in a friendly in 2011, Gareth Bale and Craig Bellamy on target as Wales won 4-1 in Cardiff.

Dragons Outclassed in League A


Wales are yet to score in the Nations League, beginning with a 1-0 defeat in Portugal. They were outclassed for the majority of the match but Lewis Koumas should have equalised late on.

Craig Bellamy’s side stayed on the road and lost 2-0 in Denmark. Once again they found it tough, ending with 38% possession and 0.62-1.39 xG.

Wales Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Danny Ward, Tom King, David Cornell
Defenders: Ben Davies, Connor Roberts, Neco Williams, Chris Mepham, Rhys Norrington-Davies, Ben Cabango, Jay Dasilva, Jayden Lienou
Midfielders: Ethan Ampadu, Jordan James, Josh Sheehan, Liam Cullen, Wes Burns, Joel Colwill, Cameron Congreve
Forwards: Daniel James, Kieffer Moore, David Brooks, Brennan Johnson, Sorba Thomas, Mark Harris, Lewis Koumas, Cian Ashford

Joe Rodon is injured alongside Dylan Lawlor and Ronan Kpakio. David Brooks wasn’t in the squad in Denmark.

Ben Cabango picked up an injury in Portugal, Chris Mepham to continue in central defence. Jay Dasilva, Jordan James and Lewis Koumas could come back into the starting side here.

Wales (4-2-3-1): Danny Ward; Neco Williams, Chris Mepham, Ben Davies, Jay Dasilva; Ethan Ampadu, Jordan James; Brennan Johnson, David Brooks, Daniel James; Lewis Koumas

Haaland's Form Continues for Norway


Norway impressed at the World Cup, beating Senegal, Ivory Coast and Brazil on their way to the quarter-finals. They took England to extra time where they went down 2-1.

The Vikings led 2-0 against Denmark in their Nations League opener thanks to goals from Oscar Bobb and Erling Haaland. The visitors equalised before Haaland scored again to secure a 3-2 victory.

Stale Solbakken’s side stayed in Oslo where they went down 2-1 to Portugal. Haaland equalised before a howler from Orjan Nyland saw Norway fall behind again, there was no way back despite ending with 62% possession and 2.52-1.04 xG.

Norway Squad, Team News & Predicted Line Up


Goalkeepers: Orjan Nyland, Egil Selvik, Sander Tangvik
Defenders: Kristoffer Ajer, Julian Ryerson, Leo Ostigard, Marcus Holmgren Pedersen, David Moller Wolfe, Torbjorn Heggem, Sondre Langas, Odin Bjortuft, Fredrik Sjovold
Midfielders: Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Kristian Thorstvedt, Fredrik Aursnes, Thelo Aasgaard
Forwards: Erling Haaland, Jorgen Strand Larsen, Antonio Nusa, Oscar Bobb, Andreas Schjelderup, Erik Botheim, Ole Didrik Blomberg

Henrik Falchener, Morten Thorsby, Jens Petter Hauge and Alexander Sorloth missed out after being in the World Cup squad.

David Moller Wolfe is available after suspension and could start at left-back with Julian Ryerson injured against Portugal.

Oscar Bobb is a chance to replace Andreas Schjelderup on the right wing. Sander Tangvik could make his debut in goal after Orjan Nyland’s struggles.

Norway (4-3-3): Sander Tangvik; Fredrik Aursnes, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjorn Heggem, David Moller Wolfe; Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg; Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa

Verdict

Erling Haaland can’t stop scoring at the moment and it’s unlikely Wales can stop his run. Wales can score in Cardiff, but Norway have far more weapons in attack.

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matthew-marshall
Matthew Marshall

Football & Tennis Editor/Writer • Portuguese Football Expert, ATP Tour Tennis Writer

Matthew Marshall is an Australian who worked in a number of industries before combining his love of football and media communications degree to become a sports journalist. Now living in Portugal, he is a Portuguese football expert at PortuGOAL and has covered multiple UEFA U21 European Championships, the 2022 and 2026 FIFA World Cup and the 2024 European Championship.


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