Fiorentina vs Atalanta Live Stream & Betting Tips - Value on a Home Win in Serie A
Fiorentina and Atalanta face off in Serie A’s last round, with Fiorentina aiming to climb the table after securing safety from relegation. Atalanta, having ensured a seventh-place finish, enter with less to play for. Key stats favor Fiorentina at home—they've kept numerous clean sheets recently and dominated their last five home matches against Atalanta. Predicted lineups see both sides missing important players, but Fiorentina's newfound confidence and motivation to finish strong suggest they could edge this contest. The main tip: expect a tight game, with value on Fiorentina for the win.
- Fiorentina have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 home games
- The Tuscany club come into this clash following a 2-0 win at Juventus
- Atalanta have nothing to play for in Serie A after securing 7th spot
Fiorentina have done enough to avoid relegation and could continue to climb the table on the final matchday. Atalanta will finish seventh regardless of the result in Florence where a home win wouldn’t surprise.
| 2025/26 Serie A | Fiorentina | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 15 | 7 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 14 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 40 (1.08 pg) | 50 (1.35 pg) |
| Goals Conceded | 49 (1.32 pg) | 35 (0.95 pg) |
HTH - Fiorentina in Front
Fiorentina have won four of their previous five home matches against Atalanta, leading the head-to-head 65-37 alongside 44 draws.
Fiorentina Finishing Strong
Fiorentina have had a turbulent season, avoiding relegation in Serie A and going deep in the Conference League. They went out to Crystal Palace in the quarter-finals, a 3-0 defeat in London followed by a 2-1 win at home.
The Tuscany club failed to win in their next four Serie A games but it was enough to steer clear of the relegation zone. They scored just one goal in that run, in a 1-1 draw at Lecce.
Paolo Vanoli’s side are coming off a fortunate 2-0 win at Juventus. Cher Ndour opened the scoring and Rolando Mandragora sealed victory in a game where they had 0.47-1.98 xG.
Atalanta Set for Seventh Spot
Atalanta have won one of their previous seven matches. They were knocked out by Lazio in the Coppa Italia semi-finals after a penalty shootout defeat at home.
Raffaele Palladino’s side won 3-2 at AC Milan in their previous road game. They took a 3-0 lead before holding on under heavy pressure, ending with 9-20 shots.
The Bergamo club are coming off a disappointing 1-0 defeat against Bologna. Atalanta registered one shot on target but will finish seventh in Serie A due to head-to-head record.
Predicted Lineups & Team News
Fiorentina (4-3-3) David de Gea; Dodo, Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo, Robin Gosens; Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Jack Harrison, Roberto Piccoli, Manor Solomon
Luca Ranieri is suspended with Pietro Comuzzo to come into central defence. Rolando Mandragora scored in Torino and could replace Marco Brescianini.
Fabiano Parisi went off in the first half last weekend, Jack Harrison to start on the right wing.
Atalanta (3-4-1-2) Marco Carnesecchi; Giorgio Scalvini, Berat Djimsiti, Honest Ahanor; Davide Zappacosta, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Nicola Zalewski; Charles De Ketelaere; Giacomo Raspadori, Nikola Krstovic
Isak Hien, Gianluca Scamacca and Kamaldeen Sulemana are injured. Odilon Kossounou didn’t feature against Bologna and might not be risked before the World Cup.
Verdict
Atalanta are limping towards the end of the season but have done enough to secure seventh spot. Fiorentina can climb a couple of positions with a win, that incentive to spur the hosts in front of their own fans.
Fiorentina Win
Full Time Result
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