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Germany vs Paraguay Betting Tips & Predictions – Die Mannschaft to Win to Nil at the World Cup 2026

vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026 12:06
Paraguay managed only four shots on target in the group stages, indicating a lackluster offense. Facing Germany, who boast a powerful attacking lineup, it's unlikely Paraguay can keep pace. The recommendation is for Germany (Die Mannschaft) to win without conceding goals ('to nil'), and their star striker, Kai Havertz, is tipped to find the net. These factors make Germany clear favorites in this matchup.
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  • Germany are tagged favorites for this clash
  • Paraguay only produced 4 shots on target in group stages
  • Check our betting tips for Germany vs Paraguay below
Kai Havertz netted two goals in the group phase (Getty Images)

Besides a lucky win over Turkey, Paraguay haven’t shown much at the World Cup 2026. Germany have superior quality and should secure a clean win here to advance to the Round of 16. 

Key Stats  


  • Germany have won 11 of their last 12 matches. 
  • Kai Havertz has scored 3 goals in his last 4 matches for Germany. 
  • Paraguay have failed to score in their last 2 matches. 

Two Previous Meetings 


Germany eliminated Paraguay at the World Cup 2002 Round of 16, while their second h2h clash was a 3-3 draw in a friendly match. 

Germany Failed to Impress in the Group Stage 


Germany’s World Cup 2026 campaign started with a convincing 7-1 victory against debutants Curacao, dominating the match with 4.22-0.41 expected goals, 65% possession and a 12-2 advantage in shots on target. 

Die Mannschaft were properly challenged by Ivory Coast in the second round, trailing 1-0 at half-time, but completed a comeback in the second half, with Deniz Undav scoring a brace (the winner came in the 94th minute). 

Julian Nagelsmann made minimal lineup changes for the third-round clash against Ecuador, where Germany had no pressure after already securing 1st place. Leroy Sane put them ahead just two minutes in, but they ended up losing the encounter 2-1 while posting only 0.65 xG. 

Paraguay Heavily Focused on Defending 


They arrived at WC 2026 as one of the strongest defensive teams, but their back line collapsed in a 4-1 defeat against the United States of America in the opening round. Mauricio scored a consolation goal here. 

The South American side returned to winning ways in the second round against slightly favoured Turkey, winning 1-0 even though Miguel Almiron was sent off just before the break. They ended the match with 0.33-2.17 xG, 21% possession and a 7-32 deficit in shots. 

In the final round, La Albirroja needed a point to secure a playoff spot and settled for a goalless draw against Australia, where both sides were too cautious to push forward. Paraguay recorded 0.24-0.55 expected goals and a 2-5 deficit in shots on target. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Germany (4-2-3-1) Manuel Neuer; Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rudiger, Jonathan Tah, David Raum; Felix Nmecha, Aleksandar Pavlovic; Leroy Sane, Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz; Kai Havertz

Even though he is having a great tournament so far, Deniz Undav is expected to start on bench here, Arsenal's Kai Havertz likely to lead the attack. 

Paraguay (3-4-2-1) Carlos Gill; Gustavo Velazquez, Gustavo Gomez, Omar Alderete; Juan Caceres, Matias Galarza, Andres Cubas, Damian Maidana; Miguel Almiron, Julio Enciso; Gabriel Avalos

One of Paraguay's best players Miguel Almiron is back after serving a red-card suspension against Australia. 

Verdict

Paraguay had just four shots on target in the group stages and I don’t think they will be able to hold Germany’s potent offensive line. I am backing Die Mannschaft to win to nil here and their starting striker Kai Havertz to find the net. 

Best Bet1: Germany To Win to Nil @11/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Kai Havertz Anytime Goalscorer @7/5 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Germany Win 2-0 Correct Score @6/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Germany
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