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Japan vs Sweden Betting Tips & Predictions – Blue Samurai to Win at the World Cup 2026

vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Sun 21 Jun 2026 20:54
Japan is predicted to win their match against Sweden, with both teams expected to find the back of the net (BTTS). Sweden has scored in eight consecutive matches but struggles defensively. Additionally, Ayase Ueda is highlighted as a strong candidate for anytime scorer due to his stellar club season and his recent two-goal performance against Tunisia. The key takeaway is to back Japan for the win, expect both teams to score, and consider placing a bet on Ueda to find the net.
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Vedran Ostojic 21 Jun 2026
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  • Japan have been in great shape at the World Cup 2026
  • We are backing them to beat inconsistent Swedes
  • Check our full preview for Japan vs Sweden below
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Ayase Ueda nette a brace against Tunisia (Getty Images)

Sweden have strong attacking potential, but their back line looked disastrous against the Netherlands, and I expect that to be the deciding factor here. Japan are backed to win with BTTS. 

Key Stats  


  • Japan have won 7 of their last 8 matches. 
  • Japan have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 4 matches against Sweden. 
  • Japan’s Ayase Ueda has scored 2 goals in his last match. 
  • Sweden have lost of their last 11 matches. 
  • Sweden have seen BTTS in their last 8 matches. 

Swedes Edge H2H 


This is going to be the 6th head to head match between these two sides, Sweden holding a 2-1 advantage in terms of victories. 

Japan off to a Great Start 


Japan’s performances and form have been strong so far, already securing a spot in the World Cup 2026 Round of 32 after collecting four points from the opening two matches. 

They held favored Netherlands to a 2-2 draw in the opening match, allowing just 0.84 expected goals against this squad with high scoring potential, scoring two equalizers through Keito Nakamura and Daichi Kamada. 

The Blue Samurai controlled the second round clash against Tunisia from start to finish, earning well-deserved 4-0 victory here without allowing a single shot on target (opposition had just 0.04 xG). Ayase Ueda was named man of the match, scoring two goals and providing one assist. 

Swedes Struggle Defensively 


Latest calculations say that Sweden will need one point from this final group stage match to secure a spot in the Round of 32, currently sitting in 3rd place in Group F with one win and one loss. 

The Scandinavian side looked impressive in their opening 5-1 victory against Tunisia, Yasin Ayari scoring a brace while Alexander Isak registered one goal and two assists. They ended this match with 1.34-0.27 expected goals. 

They were completely outplayed in the second match by the Netherlands 5-1, Anthony Elanga scoring a consolation. The Swedes are agile and attackingly oriented here, firing 16 shots total. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Japan (3-4-3) Zion Suzuki; Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ko Itakura, Hiroki Ito; Ritsu Doan, Ao Tanaka, Daichi Kamada, Keito Nakamura; Junya Ito, Kaishu San, Ayase Ueda

Ayase Ueda has been Japan's top contributor so far with two goals and one assist. Daichi Kamada is just behind with two goals. They have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match.

Sweden (3-5-2) Kristoffer Nordfeldt; Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Victor Lindelof, Alexander Bernhardsson, Gabriel Gudmundsson; Benjamin Nygren, Jesper Karlstrom, Yasin Ayari; Viktor Gyokeres, Alexander Isak

Yasin Ayari is having a great tournament so far with two goals, but he also needs to be careful of yellow card accumulation, as well as Gabriel Gudmundsson.

Verdict

Sweden didn’t miss to score in their last eight matches, but their back line has been quite leaky for months. I am predicting Japan to win here with BTTS. 

Another bet worth considering is Ayase Ueda to score anytime. He had a great season in Feyenoord and netted a brace against Tunisia. 

Best Bet1: Japan Win Full-Time Result @1/1 at Hollywoodbets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Japan Win & BTTS Yes Result/Both to Score @3/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Ayase Ueda Anytime Goalscorer @19/10 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Ayase Ueda First Goalscorer @6/1 at Hollywoodbets - 1 Unit
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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Located in Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast with a particular love for the English Premier League. He's been writing about sports online for almost a decade with a degree in literature and sports journalism. The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, Serie A & Bundesliga) and basketball (Euroleague & NBA).

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