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Lecce vs Fiorentina Predictions & Betting Tips - Hosts to Take a Point in Serie A

eddy-tora
Eddy Tora
Editor
Last updated: Sun 19 Apr 2026 16:13
Lecce and Fiorentina face off in a crucial Serie A battle with both teams looking to improve their current standings. Lecce has struggled recently, losing four straight matches and sitting in the relegation zone. However, they aim to capitalize on home advantage, given Fiorentina's inconsistent away form. Fiorentina, meanwhile, has found a rhythm lately, losing just once in nine matches overall. With a draw looking likely, both teams will vie for crucial points in their respective campaigns.
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Eddy Tora 19 Apr 2026
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  • Fiorentina have found some form, winning 6 of their previous 8 games
  • Lecce are unbeaten in 3 of their previous 5 home matches
  • I am backing the relegation threatened hosts to settle for a point
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Lecce
Lecce have lost four straight games in Serie A (Getty)

Lecce are unbeaten in half of their 16 home games in Serie A and Fiorentina have won only four times on the road. I think the southern side can pick up a valuable point in their fight for survival.

2025/26 Serie ALecceFiorentina
Current Position 18th 15th
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 21 (0.66 pg) 37 (1.16 pg)
Goals Conceded 45 (1.41 pg) 44 (1.38 pg)

HTH


Fiorentina lead Lecce 17-13 alongside 13 draws. Lecce won 1-0 in Florence this season, Medon Berisha’s goal the difference.

Lecce Fighting for Survival


Lecce have lost four straight matches to drop into the relegation zone. They have scored only once in that run, in a 2-1 defeat at Napoli.

Eusebio Di Francesco’s side were unlucky to lose 1-0 at Roma but had no excuses against Atalanta. They had 0.44-2.78 xG at home and fell to a 3-0 defeat.

The southern club lost 2-0 at Bologna last time out. Once again they were outplayed, ending with 36% possession, 1-4 shots and 0.32-2.16 xG.

Fiorentina Away from Danger


Fiorentina have lost only once in their previous nine matches, a costly 3-0 defeat at Crystal Palace in the Conference League quarter-finals. They won 2-1 at home in the second leg but the damage was done.

I Viola beat Lazio 1-0 in their last Serie A clash. They side had some luck, ending the contest with 34% possession, 2-6 shots on target and 0.62-1.33 xG.

Paolo Vanoli’s side have picked up 11 points in five games to move eight points clear of the relegation zone.

Verdict

Fiorentina have had some fortunate results on recent weeks and I don’t trust them to win on the road. Lecce have held Bologna and Lazio at home this season, a draw on the cards in Serie A.

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