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PSG vs Toulouse Predictions & Tips – Handicap in Play in Ligue 1

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Wed 01 Apr 2026 22:00
Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) has shown remarkable form leading up to the international break and hopes to maintain this momentum in their upcoming match against Toulouse. Earlier this season, PSG secured a dominant 6-3 victory over Toulouse while playing away, setting expectations for another convincing performance in their next encounter. Fans are optimistic about witnessing a continuation of PSG's strong rhythm as they prepare for Friday's game. The general consensus is that PSG is well-positioned for another commanding win, keeping their winning streak alive.
Vedran Ostojic 01 Apr 2026
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  • PSG were in great form before the international break
  • We are predicting them to earn a convincing win on Friday
  • Check our full preview for PSG vs Toulouse below
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PSG beat Toulouse 6-3 earlier this season (Getty Images)

PSG recovered from an early March loss to Monaco by winning three games in a row with a 12-2 goal difference. Toulouse struggle against big guns, especially on the road, so I am predicting one-sided clash in Paris.  

Key Stats  


  • PSG have covered a –2 handicap in their last 3 matches. 
  • PSG beat Toulouse 6-3 earlier this season. 
  • Toulouse have lost 3 of their last 4 away matches (Ligue 1). 

Saints Dominate H2H 


PSG had more success in previous head to head, winning 47 out of 80 matches, Toulouse celebrating 19 victories. 

PSG Leading the Title Race 


PSG had a couple of slip ups recently in Ligue 1, but still hold 1st position with a one-point advantage over Lens (also played one match less), having the best offense (58 goals) and best defense (allowed 22 goals). 

After a surprising 3-1 home loss to Monaco in early March, the Saints returned to winning ways just before the international break with a commanding 4-0 road victory against Nice, allowing just 26% possession and one shot on target to the Eaglets. 

Luis Enrique’s side also impressed in the Champions League Round of 16, beating Chelsea both at home (5-2) and in London (3-0) to advance. Kvicha Kvaratshkelia netted three, Bradley Barcola two goals in these encounters. 

Toulouse in Good Form But Struggle on the Road 


Two recent victories pushed Toulouse up to 9th place far away from the relegation battle in Ligue 1, so they enter this clash stress free, accumulating 37 points in 27 matches. 

They had an awful run throughout February in their road matches though, suffering three consecutive defeats to Angers 1-0, Le Havre 2-1 and Rennes 1-0. 

Just before the international break, the Violets snatched a 1-0 home victory against Lorient. Emersonn was the sole scorer in the 81st minute on Cristian Casseres’ assist. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


PSG (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Lucas Beraldo, Marcos Aoas Correa, Lucas Hernandez, Warren Zaire-Emery, Joao Neves, Dro Fernandez, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 

Fabian Ruiz and Ndjantou Mbitcha are confirmed as absentees for PSG due to injuries, while Bradley Barcola is doubtful. 

Toulouse (3-2-4-1): Guillaume Restes, Dayann Methalie, Mark McKenzie, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Cristian Casseres, Pape Diop, Aron Donnum, Alexis Vossah, Mario Sauer, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Emersonn Lima De Araujo 

Abu Francis (lower leg injury) and Charlie Creswell (hamstring problem) won’t travel to Paris, while Djibril Sidibe, Frank Magri and Rafik Messali are doubtful. Santiago Hidalgo is serving a one-game suspension. 

Verdict

PSG picked up great form just before the international break and I expect them to continue in the same rhythm on Friday. They beat Toulouse 6-3 as visitors earlier this season, so another convincing win is expected. 

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