Turkey vs Italy Tips & Predictions – BTTS the Best Bet in the UEFA Nations League
Italy's recent loss to Belgium marked the first time since June 2025 that they failed to score, highlighting a rare offensive lapse. Heading into Monday's match against Turkey, Italy faces a team known for its strong attacking power. Given both teams' abilities, the key recommendation is to expect both sides to score. This prediction is based on Italy's overall scoring record and Turkey's offensive strengths, making the match promising for fans expecting goals from both sides.
- Turkey have a lot of talented players and great scorers
- We are backing both them and Italy to find the net
- Check our full preview for Turkey vs Italy below
Both sides will be aiming for victory here after losing their games on Friday. This should result in an open encounter with plenty of action, making BTTS the best bet.
- Key Stats
- Italy Unbeaten Against Turkey
- Crescent Stars Deserved More in The First Round
- Azzurri Disappointed in Mancini's Debut
- Team News & Predicted Lineups
Key Stats
- Turkey have scored 11 goals in their last 5 home matches.
- Turkey have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 matches against Italy.
- Italy have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Italy Unbeaten Against Turkey
This is going to be the 14th time these two nations lock horns. Italy won on nine occasions, while four clashes ended without a winner.
Crescent Stars Deserved More in The First Round
Turkey started the new UEFA Nations League campaign with a 1-0 home defeat against France where they deserved more.
Vincenzo Montella’s side had 1.21-1.17 expected goals here and 12-12 shots, while Ferdi Kadioglu and Ismail Yuksek missed big chances to score.
The Crescent Stars were one of the biggest dark horses going into the WC 2026 earlier this summer but lost their opening two games to Australia 2-0 and Paraguay despite firing 62 shots total and got eliminated.
They got some minor consolation by defeating USA 3-2 in the final round, Arda Guler, Baris Yilmaz and Kaan Ayhan appearing on the scoresheet.
Azzurri Disappointed in Mancini's Debut
Everyone expected Italy to perform in Roberto Mancini's debut on Friday against Belgium but suffered a disappointing 2-0 defeat in Rome.
Their defending was very awful, allowing eight shots on target and five goal chances to the opposition, ending the clash with 1.71-2.76 expected goals. Francesco Esposito was trusted to lead the attack but missed two huge opportunities.
After failing to qualify for the World Cup 2026, Gennaro Gattuso stepped down from the coach position, so the team was led by Silvio Baldini in Italy's June friendlies where they beat Luxembourg and Greece (1-0 on both occasions).
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Turkey (3-4-2-1) Altay Bayindir; Zeki Celik, Merih Demiral, Abdulkerim Bardakci; Oguz Aydin, Salih Ozcan, Ismail Yuksek, Ferdi Kadioglu; Arda Guler, Kerem Akturkoglu; Baris Alper Yilmaz
Turkey have to manage without suspended goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir, leaving Altay Bayindir to start between the posts, while key midfielders Hakan Calhanoglu, Kenan Yildiz, and Orkun Kokcu are sidelined through injury.
Turkey have to manage without suspended goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir, leaving Altay Bayindir to start between the posts, while key midfielders Hakan Calhanoglu, Kenan Yildiz, and Orkun Kokcu are sidelined through injury.
Italy (4-3-3) Gianluigi Donnarumma; Michael Kayode, Gianluca Mancini, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori; Nicolo Barella, Sandro Tonali, Davide Frattesi; Nicolo Cambiaghi, Pio Esposito, Giacomo Raspadori
Italy are arriving with a depleted squad of their own, missing Federico Dimarco, Bryan Cristante, and Manuel Locatelli due to injuries.
Italy are arriving with a depleted squad of their own, missing Federico Dimarco, Bryan Cristante, and Manuel Locatelli due to injuries.
Verdict
Friday's loss to Belgium was the first time Italy missed to score since June 2025. Offense is Turkey's strongest link, so I am predicting both sides to find the net on Monday.
BTTS Yes
Both Teams to Score
@4/6 - 3 Units
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With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.
The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.
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