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Turkey vs USA Betting Tips & Predictions – Goals on the Menu at the World Cup 2026

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Sun 21 Jun 2026 20:50
Turkey is set to face the USA with renewed determination after an unexpectedly early tournament exit, eager to showcase their talent and restore pride. Meanwhile, the USA brings attacking flair, with recent games witnessing plenty of action and goals. The expectation is a highly competitive match, making 'Both Teams To Score' and 'over 2.5 goals' the standout betting pick. Spectators can anticipate a thrilling, goal-rich encounter between two motivated squads.
Vedran Ostojic 3 hours ago
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  • Turkey will try to grab a consolation win after being eliminated
  • USA netted six goals in the opening two matches
  • Check our preview for Turkey vs USA below
Turkey fired 62 shots in two games but failed to score (Getty)

Turkey have generated around 3.5 xG across their opening two games yet failed to score. I don’t think they will exit the tournament without breaking that scoring drought, and with the USA likely to rotate their lineup, we should see a high-scoring game. 

Key Stats  


  • Turkey have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in their last 4 matches against USA. 
  • USA have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches. 
  • USA have seen over 3.5 goals in 4 of their last 7 matches. 

Five Previous Meetings 


Head to head stats are tied, both sides claiming two victories each so far and every single match ended with BTTS. 

Turkey are Already Eliminated 


Even though they had 62 shots across the opening two World Cup 2026 matches, Turkey failed to score and have already been eliminated from the tournament. 

The Crescent Stars had 1.36-1.18 xG, 72% possession and 30-9 shots in the opening round against Australia but still lost 2-0. Kaerem Akturkoglu missed a huge chance in the first half as well as Zeki Celik in the late stages. 

They conceded after just one minute of play against Paraguay in the second round, then had one-man advantage for entire second half but still couldn’t find the net, losing 1-0. Vincenzo Montella’s side had 79% possession, 2.17-0.33 xG and 32-7 shots against the South American side. 

USA are off to an Impressive Start 


USA delivered two outstanding performances at the World Cup 2026 so far, claimed the maximum of six points and clinched first position in Group D. 

The Stars and Stripes kicked things off with a convincing 4-1 victory against Paraguay, Folarin Balogun stealing the spotlight here by netting a quick brace. They finished this clash with 1.34-0.47 xG, 65% possession and 6-1 shots on target. 

Another dominant display was witnessed in the second round in a 2-0 win over Australia, netting both goals in the first half through Cameron Burgess (own goal) and Alexander Freeman. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 

United States (4-3-3) Matt Turner; Joe Scally, Mark McKenzie, Miles Robinson, Auston Trusty; Malik Tillman, Sebastian Berhalter, Giovanni Reyna; Timothy Weah, Haji Wright, Brenden Aaronson

Captain Christian Pulisic is recovering from a calf injury and won't be ready for this clash. Folarin Balogun and Tyler Adams are likely to start on bench here to avoid potential yellow card accumulation/suspension.

Turkey (4-3-3) Ugurcan Cakir; Zeki Celik, Merih Demiral, Caglar Soyuncu, Ferdi Kadioglu; Hakan Calhanoglu, Okay Yokuslu, Orkun Kokcu; Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz, Kerem Akturkoglu

Turkey have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match. Baris Yilmaz had an awful appearance against Paraguay so I expect Karem Akturkoglu to be in the starting lineup this time.

Verdict

Turkey will be aiming to bounce back after a disappointing early exit despite having such a strong squad, so I expect them to be highly motivated here. USA’s games have been full of action, making BTTS & over 2.5 goals my top pick for this one. 

Best Bet1: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals Both to Score/Total Goals @1/1 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
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