RegisterLog in
  • Home
  • Rugby League
  • NRL
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders NRL Betting Tips - Close contest predicted in Round 5

ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker
Editor
Last updated: Fri 03 Apr 2026 10:30
In an Easter Sunday NRL clash, the Newcastle Knights take on the Canberra Raiders. The Knights recently secured a win against the Bulldogs, pushing them up in the rankings despite injury setbacks. However, scoring against top teams might remain challenging. The Raiders, experiencing a sluggish start with a 1-3 record, suffered a recent loss to the Sharks despite even match statistics. Predictions favor a close win for Canberra by a 1-12 margin, with the game total predicted to go under. Fletcher Hunt is a top pick for a try-scorer.
Share
Ryan Tucker 03 Apr 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
Copy
  • Canberra expected to win by a 1-12 margin with game total going under.
  • Newcastle struggled but secured an upset win last weekend.
  • Canberra's allowing high run meters; faces consistency challenge.
Expired
knights raiders nrl
Canberra Raiders and Newcastle Knights (Getty Images)

Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders Preview


Newcastle Knights are struggling to put points on the board and Canberra Raiders can edge this Easter Sunday clash. I'm not expecting a blowout with another grinding victory for the visitors the best value.

  • 3 of Canberra’s 4 games this season have finished with a 1-12 margin. The majority of their games last year also finished with that margin. Away favourites are covering at the highest rate of this season 57.1%
  • 5 of the last 6 regular season matchups between these two teams have gone Under the Game Total.
  • Canberra have allowed a try to opposition fullbacks in 3 of 4 games this season.
  • Fletcher Hunt has scored in 2 of his 3 games this season and crossed for a try in this same matchup last season.

Head to Head 


Canberra won both matchups last year and three of the last four but it is a clean 6-6 record in regular season matchups since the start of the 2019 season.  

The Game total has gone Under in eight of 12 games in the same span including five straight before the most recent game went Over.

Newcastle have a 8-4 ATS record in this matchup. 

Newcastle Knights Struggling For Points


The Knights had one of the upsets of the round last weekend, beating the Bulldogs 24-16 at Accor. It was their third win of the season, pushing them up to 4th on the ladder after 4 rounds of footy.

Newcastle fans were devastated after losing both Dylan Brown and Kalyn Ponga after just a couple of games but the Knights have been able to rally by doing the small things well and often.

It is still likely that they will struggle to score lots of points against top sides until their full spine is back but they will pull their opposition into a grind and try to take advantage of opportunities to score when they appear.

Canberra Raiders Hangover Continues 


Canberra are 1-3 to start the year and we are one more loss away from designating a hangover and regression from last year’s table topping performance. Last week they lost 34-22 at home to the Sharks.

Both teams were pretty evenly matched on the stats sheet, especially in the important metrics like Run Metres, Missed Tackles, Errors and Completion Rate. The difference being that Cronulla were able to capitalise on their opportunities while Canberra didn’t.

The Raiders are allowing an average of almost 1700 Run Metres to their opposition per game which puts them in the bottom 3rd of all teams in the league.

Verdict

The top pick in this game is Canberra to win by a 1-12 margin with the Game Total going Under. Fullbacks have a good strike rate against Canberra, take Fletcher Hunt to cross for a try.
Best Bet1: Canberra 1-12 Winning Margin @2/1 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 46.5 Game Total @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: F Hunt Anytime Tryscorer @21/10 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: F Hunt First Tryscorer @16/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Canberra 1-12
Winning Margin
@2/1 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Under 46.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
F Hunt
Anytime Tryscorer
@21/10 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
F Hunt
First Tryscorer
@16/1 - 1 Unit
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

Related

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

10 June 2026

  • Volleyball Nations League 2026 -
  • Volleyball

11 June 2026

  • FIFA World Cup -
  • Soccer

28 June 2026

  • Mid-Season Invitational 2026 -
  • Esports
Load More
05 Apr 2026

Newcastle Knights v Canberra Raiders

Today's Acca Tips

  • Soccer tips

  • Horse Racing tips

  • Tennis tips

 bonus image
Resources
Copyright © 2026 All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission is prohibited. Players must be 18 or over and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. Know when to Stop. Gamble responsibly and Think about your choices. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: gamcare.org.uk (UK), 800gambler.org (US), or gamblinghelponline.org.au (Australia). Gambling is addictive 18+. #Ads © 2026 freetips.com
Hear more from Freetips.com