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Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini Live Stream & Betting Tips - Tie Break Time at ATP Rome

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
Editor
Last updated: Wed 06 May 2026 11:55
Matteo Berrettini and Alexei Popyrin are set for another tightly contested match at ATP Rome 2026. Their previous encounters have been closely fought, often featuring tie-breaks. While Berrettini leads their head-to-head 3-1 and enters as the favorite, he has dropped to World No. 100 and shown inconsistent form recently. Popyrin, similarly, has struggled, especially against top players. Expect a long match with tie-break potential, making markets like 'over 22.5 games' and a possible first set tie-break attractive picks.
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John Eastwood 06 May 2026
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  • Popyrin has seen a tie break in all 4 matches against Berrettini
  • I am backing the trend to continue at the Italian Open
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Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini reached the Italian Open quarter-finals in 2020 (Getty)

Alexei Popyrin has played ten sets against Matteo Berrettini, five of them going the distance. I am expecting a long match in Rome where the tie break markets are in play.


 Alexei Popyrin Matteo Berrettini
Nationality Australia Italy
Age 26 (5 August 1990) 30 (12 April 1996)
Height 6'5" (1.96m) 6'5" (1.96m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 60 100
Career High 19 (August 2025) 6 (January 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 3 10
ATP Rome Best Result Fourth Round (2023) Quarter-Finals (2020)

HTH


Matteo Berrettini is 3-1 against Alexei Popyrin, all four encounters coming on hard courts.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025 Vienna Hard R32 Berrettini 7-6 6-3
2024 Paris Masters Hard R64 Popyrin 7-5 7-6
2021 Vienna Hard R32 Berrettini 7-6 6-3
2019 US Open Hard R32 Berrettini 6-4 6-4 6-7 7-6

Popyrin 4-12 in 2026


Alexei Popyrin ended 2025 with five consecutive defeats and started 2026 with five straight losses. He has now lost 11 of his previous 12 matches against Top 50 players.

The 26-year-old saw some improvement on clay in Houston. He battled past Patrick Kypson and Alex Michelsen in 3 sets to reach the quarter-finals, suffering a narrow 3-6 6-4 7-6 defeat to 2nd seed Frances Tiafoe.

Popyrin has lost both matches since, 6-3 6-4 to Casper Ruud in Monte Carlo and 7-6 6-4 against Martin Damm in Madrid.

Berrettini Down to 100


Matteo Berrettini started the year on clay in South America where he failed to impress. He was unable to get past the third round in Indian Wells and Miami.

The Italian produced an incredible result in Monte Carlo where he thrashed Daniil Medvedev 6-0 6-0. He ran into Joao Fonseca in the third round, going down in straight sets.

The 30-year-old suffered another straight sets defeat to qualifier Dino Prizmic in his opening match in Madrid. He went to the Cagliari Challenger to build some confidence, beating Patrick Kypson and Mariano Navone before a 3 sets quarter-final defeat to Hubert Hurkacz.

Berrettini comes to Rome ranked 100, a long way from the World No.6 position he occupied in 2022.

Verdict

Matteo Berrettini comes into this clash as a short priced favourite despite dropping to World No.1. Tie breaks are a regular occurrence between these players, the trend to continue in Rome.

Best Bet1: Over 22.5 Games Total Games @5/6 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 0.5 Tie Breaks Total Tie Breaks @20/21 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Yes Set 1 Tie Break @12/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Over 22.5 Games
Total Games
@5/6 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Over 0.5 Tie Breaks
Total Tie Breaks
@20/21 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £10
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Bet at dabble
Yes
Set 1 Tie Break
@12/5 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
john-eastwood
John Eastwood

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Graduated from the University of Portsmouth in 2008 with a BA in English Literature before completing MA in Journalism. Began his career as a sports journalist in London before moving to the Middle East to work as a sports editor for national media companies in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. Favourite Sports: Tennis, Boxing, Golf.


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07 May 2026

Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Berrettini

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