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Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Betting Tips & Live Stream – Rybakina Favoured to Win at WTA Brisbane

tomasz-wilk
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Last updated: Wed 07 Jan 2026 15:44
Elena Rybakina appears in superior form as she prepares to face Paula Badosa at the Brisbane tournament. Rybakina, back in the top five and on a 12-match win streak, is expected to dominate with a possible straight-sets victory. Conversely, Badosa, still recovering from a challenging season riddled with injuries, is striving to regain her competitive edge. Despite her past successes in Australia, Badosa faces a tough challenge against Rybakina’s commanding momentum.
Tomasz Wilk 07 Jan 2026
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  • Rybakina on a 12-match winning streak, aiming for another Brisbane triumph
  • Badosa struggling for consistency post-injury, seeking back-to-back wins
  • Rybakina expected to dominate, with a straight-sets victory anticipated
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Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina waves to the crowd after winning her women's singles match against Zhang Shuai at the Brisbane International tennis tournament in Brisbane. (credit: Getty)
Badosa is still searching for rhythm after a season derailed by injuries, and she hasn’t managed back-to-back wins since Berlin last June. 

Rybakina arrives in sharp form, back inside the top five after a huge 2025, and this sets up as a matchup where a straight-sets win for the Kazakh looks the most likely outcome.

Stats - Rybakina’s Momentum Advantage

  • Rybakina is on a 12-match winning streak dating back to her Ningbo title 
  • Rybakina made 12 quarterfinals last season, most of them on hard courts 
  • Badosa went 2–2 vs top-10 players last season, including a win over Coco Gauff at the Australian Open Badosa has reached three quarterfinals in Australia across three different cities

HTH - Honours Shared After Eight Meetings

Year
Event
Surface
Round
Winner
Score

2025

Dubai

Hard

R16

Elena Rybakina

4–6, 7–6, 7–6

2023

Miami

Hard

3R

Elena Rybakina

3–6, 7–5, 6–3

2023

Indian Wells

Hard

3R

Elena Rybakina

6–3, 7–5

2022

Billie Jean King Cup

Hard

Paula Badosa

6–2, 3–6, 6–4

2022

Stuttgart

Clay

R16

Paula Badosa

6–2, 4–6, 7–6

2021

Cincinnati

Hard

R16

Paula Badosa

6–2, 7–6

2019

Bucharest

Clay

1R

Elena Rybakina

7–5, 7–6

2018

Moscow 2

Hard

Q1R

Paula Badosa

7–6, 2–6, 7–5

Rybakina Picks Up Where She Left Off in Brisbane

Rybakina opened her season with a straight-sets win, though she was tested when she trailed 1–4 in the second set. 

Her serve carried her through, firing 16 aces in a 6–3, 7–5 win over Zhang Shuai to restart her Brisbane campaign in winning fashion. 

Brisbane has already been a perfect fit for her. On debut here in 2024, she swept to the title without dropping more than five games in any round, one of the most dominant runs of her season. 

She arrives looking to repeat that kind of week after finishing 2025 in red-hot form. Titles in Ningbo and at the WTA Finals in Riyadh underlined just how dangerous she is when she brings momentum into a tournament.

Across the wider draw, Rybakina also sits just behind the top seed among the main contenders to lift the trophy, which we’ve covered in detail in our Brisbane tournament preview.

Category
Details

Nationality

Kazakhstan

Age

26 (17 June 1999)

Plays

Right-handed

World Ranking

5

Career High

3 (12 June 2023)

Tour Titles

11

Badosa’s Long Road Back

Badosa had to grind for her first Brisbane win, coming through a three-hour battle against Marie Bouzkova, 6–7, 6–4, 6–2. 

The positive was that her level rose as the match went on, and she finished the job strongly. Australia was easily her best stop last season. 

She left Melbourne with a semifinal run at the Australian Open, her best Grand Slam result and her only semifinal appearance since the start of 2025. 

Outside of that stretch, it was a tough year. After June, Badosa managed just one match win for the rest of the 2025 season, underlining how hard it’s been for her to find sustained rhythm.

Category
Details

Nationality

Spain

Age

28 (15 November 1997)

Plays

Right-handed

World Ranking

25

Career High

2 (25 April 2022)

Tour Titles

4

Verdict

Badosa is still trying to find a consistent level, while Rybakina comes in with momentum and authority. On current form, this looks set up for the Kazakh to take charge from the start, with a straight-sets win the clear expectation.

Best Bet1: Rybakina 2-0 Correct Score @17/25 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Rybakina -4.5 Handicap Games @7/8 at bet365 - 2 Units
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