2026 French Open Tennis Predictions & Betting Tips

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Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Betting Tips & Live Stream – Shnaider Poised to End the Fairytale Run at the French Open

Moti Prakash

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Last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026 01:59

Moti Prakash 04 Jun 2026

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Shnaider reaches her first Slam semifinal after defeating Sabalenka
Chwalinska is only the 6th qualifier to reach a Grand Slam semi
Shnaider has the edge due to wins over Grand Slam champions

Expired

Diana Shnaider returns a forehand against Aryna Sabalenka in Paris (credit: Getty)

A Place In The Final
HTH - Diana Shnaider leads 1-0
Shnaider Ends Sabalenka's Major Streak
Qualifier Stuns Again at Roland Garros

Chwalinska’s recent run has been impressive, but Shnaider’s victories over two Grand Slam champions give her the edge heading into this matchup.

A Place In The Final

Diana Shnaider owns a 15–2 record against players outside the Top 20 this year.
She holds a 6–7 record in tour-level semifinals during her career.
Maja Chwalinska has never reached a semifinal above WTA 125 level before this week.
She has a 3–3 career record against Top 50 players.

HTH - Diana Shnaider leads 1-0

Year	Tournament	Surface	Round	Winner	Score
2022	Istanbul 3 ITF	Clay	SF	Shnaider	6-4, 6-4

Shnaider Ends Sabalenka's Major Streak

Diana Shnaider advanced to the semifinals at Roland Garros after defeating world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in three sets, 3-6, 7-5, 6-0. She trailed by a set and 1-4 before producing a remarkable turnaround to win the match. Notably, she won the final 10 games in a row.

The victory also ended Sabalenka's streak of six consecutive Grand Slam semifinal appearances. It was a stunning performance from Shnaider, who had won only two matches in her three previous appearances at the French Open before this year.

The 22-year-old arrived in Paris short on confidence after failing to win multiple matches in seven of her previous nine tournaments. Many of those defeats came against Top 20 opponents, a run that pushed her outside the Top 20 in the rankings.

This run has changed everything. Shnaider is set to return to the Top 20 and is now chasing her first clay-court final since winning the title in Budapest in 2024, which remains the only clay title of her career.

This is the first Grand Slam semifinal of Shnaider's career, having never previously gone beyond the quarterfinal stage at a major. She heads into the semifinals with a 6-7 record in tour-level semifinals.

Category	Details
Nationality	Russia
Age	22 (2 April 2004)
Plays	Left-handed
World Ranking	23
Career High	11 (05 May 2025)
Elo Ranking	23 (Rating: 1882)
Tour level titles	5

Qualifier Stuns Again at Roland Garros

Maja Chwalinska continued her incredible qualifying run by reaching the semifinals at the French Open after defeating Anna Kalinskaya in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3. She nearly squandered a 5-1 lead in the opening set before recovering to take it in a tiebreak and then cruising through the second set.

With this victory, Chwalinska becomes only the sixth qualifier in the Open Era to reach a Grand Slam semifinal and the second at Roland Garros after Nadia Podoroska achieved the feat in 2020.

Although she has yet to face a Top 20 player during this run, her path to the semifinals has still been highly impressive. Earlier in the tournament, she defeated notable opponents such as Qinwen Zheng, Elise Mertens and Maria Sakkari.

The Pole began the season ranked around the Top 150. A breakthrough quarterfinal run in Cluj-Napoca, along with three other quarterfinal-or-better results at WTA 125 events, laid the foundation for this surge. With her remarkable run in Paris, she is now set to make her Top 30 debut next week.

Category	Details
Nationality	Poland
Age	24 (10 November 2001)
Plays	Left-handed
World Ranking	114
Career High	113 (04 May 2026)
Elo Ranking	107 (Rating: 1710)
Tour level titles	0

Verdict

Diana Shnaider v Maja Chwalinska

Maja Chwalinska has put together an impressive run, winning eight matches with seven of those victories coming in straight sets. Considering she had won only one Grand Slam main-draw match before this year, her progress has been remarkable. However, Diana Shnaider’s confidence is soaring after back-to-back wins over Grand Slam champions, which makes her the favorite in this matchup.

Diana Shnaider

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Moti Prakash specialises in tennis with a key focus on WTA events and the four Grand Slams for more than a decade.

He provides expert analysis, betting predictions and tournament guides as FreeTips' tennis editor. You will find him predicting the best games each day from the WTA Tour.