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Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Betting Tips & Live Stream – Paolini Favoured to Progress at WTA Roland Garros

moti-prakash
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Last updated: Mon 25 May 2026 00:12
Jasmine Paolini and Dayana Yastremska meet in the French Open first round with Paolini the favorite, thanks to a convincing 6-1 head-to-head record and more consistent results throughout the season. Although Yastremska brings renewed confidence after clinching a WTA 125 title in Parma, her form remains more erratic compared to Paolini’s. Both players aim to rebound from recent struggles, but Paolini’s steadier performance and historical edge give her the advantage to progress further in the tournament.
Moti Prakash 25 May 2026
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  • Paolini leads Yastremska in head-to-head 6-1
  • Yastremska arrives with fresh confidence after a Parma title win
  • Paolini favored to progress due to greater season consistency
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Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini in action against Elise Mertens in Rome (credit: Getty)
Yastremska’s recent title run was encouraging, but her struggles this season have been even more concerning than Paolini’s, which still leaves the Italian favored to progress further.

Paolini Eyes Winning Start

  • Jasmine Paolini holds a 5–2 first-round record at the French Open. 
  • She lost 10 of her last 11 matches against Top 50 players. 
  • Dayana Yastremska owns a 2–4 opening-round record at the French Open. 
  • She is on an eight-match losing streak against Top 20 players.

HTH - Jasmine Paolini leads 6-1

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2023PalermoClayR16Paolini2-6, 6-4, 6-2
2023Florence WTAClayR16Paolini7-5, 4-6, 6-3
2022Cluj-Napoca 2 WTAIndoor HardR16Paolini6-4, 6-1
2022Lyon WTAIndoor HardQFYastremska6-4, 7-6
2021LinzIndoor Hard1RPaolini6-4, 3-6, 6-2
2021Courmayeur WTAIndoor HardQFPaolini6-4, 7-6
2021Portoroz WTAHard1RPaolini7-6, 4-1 ret.

Paolini Looking To Regain Confidence

Jasmine Paolini has continued to struggle throughout 2026, and the clay season has not brought the turnaround she hoped for. She lost three of her five matches during the clay swing across three tournaments. 

The Italian’s disappointing stretch dates back to the WTA Finals last year. Since then, her level has dropped noticeably, and even changes to her coaching setup at the start of the season have not yet produced clear improvement. 

Paolini has played nine tournaments this season and recorded multiple wins in only three of them. Her best results were a semifinal run in Merida, a fourth-round appearance in Indian Wells and a third-round showing at the Australian Open. 

The 30-year-old has made seven main-draw appearances at French Open and cleared the opening round five times. Her best result came in 2024 when she reached the final.

CategoryDetails
NationalityItaly
Age30 (4 January 1996)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking13
Career High4 (28 October 2024)
Elo Ranking17 (Rating: 1930)
Tour level titles4

Yastremska Arrives With Fresh Confidence

Dayana Yastremska found her form at the perfect time by winning the WTA 125 title in Parma last week. During that run, she defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Barbora Krejcikova in consecutive matches to lift the trophy. 

The title came as a major relief for Yastremska, who had not recorded multiple wins in any tournament since reaching the third round in Brisbane at the start of the season. The strong week in Parma should provide her with much-needed confidence heading into Paris. 

This will be her seventh appearance at French Open. She lost in the opening round in four of her previous visits but showed improvement recently by reaching at least the third round in her last two appearances.

CategoryDetails
NationalityUkraine
Age26 (15 May 2000)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking45
Career High21 (20 January 2020)
Elo Ranking50 (Rating: 1816)
Tour level titles3

French Open Women Live Streams

Verdict

Dayana Yastremska’s recent WTA 125 title run in Parma was encouraging, but her overall form and consistency since the start of the year have still been below Jasmine Paolini’s level. That makes the Italian the favorite to progress further in this matchup.

Best Bet1: Jasmine Paolini Match Winner @3/5 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Paolini + Over 18.5 Result + Total Games @11/9 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Paolini -2.5 Handicap Games @9/11 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Jasmine Paolini
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25 May 2026

Jasmine Paolini v Dayana Yastremska