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Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk Betting Tips & Live Stream – Kostyuk to Disrupt Andreeva’s Rhythm in Madrid

moti-prakash
Moti Prakash
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Last updated: Sat 02 May 2026 01:20
Mirra Andreeva and Marta Kostyuk set up a compelling Madrid Open final. Andreeva, though consistent and a champion on several big stages, faces a demanding schedule, having made both singles and doubles finals. Kostyuk, in contrast, brings recent momentum and confidence after becoming the first Ukrainian to reach a Madrid final and winning all her clay matches this season. The key factor could be Andreeva’s workload, with Kostyuk’s fresher legs making her the slight favorite in this closely matched final.
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Moti Prakash 02 May 2026
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  • Andreeva boasts a 5–1 tour-level finals record but faces heavy workload
  • Kostyuk is unbeaten on clay this season, reaching her biggest final yet
  • Kostyuk’s momentum and edge in freshness make her a slight favorite
Expired
Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk plays a forehand against Anastasia Potapova in Madrid (credit: Getty)
Andreeva’s busy week could take a toll, while Kostyuk arrives with confidence and solid momentum, which puts her slightly ahead in this clash.

Andreeva’s Consistency Under Spotlight

  • Mirra Andreeva has a 5–1 record in tour-level finals. 
  • She is 23–2 against outside Top 20 players this year. 
  • Marta Kostyuk is 1–1 in tour-level clay finals. 
  • She has a 4–3 record against Top 10 players this year.

HTH - Marta Kostyuk leads 1-0

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2026BrisbaneHardQFKostyuk7-6(7), 6-3

Andreeva Ends Baptiste Dream Run

Mirra Andreeva ended Hailey Baptiste’s breakthrough run with a 6-4, 7-6 win to reach the Madrid final. She won 81% of her first-serve points and converted two of four break chances in a composed performance. 

This is her third WTA 1000 final, making her the youngest player to reach that mark since the format began in 2009. She previously won back-to-back titles at this level, defeating Clara Tauson and Aryna Sabalenka in the finals of Dubai and Indian Wells last year. 

After a strong Australian swing, she struggled during her title defenses between Doha and Miami, winning only four matches in that stretch. However, she has bounced back impressively on clay, winning 12 of her last 13 matches, including a title in Linz. 

Andreeva now holds an excellent 5-1 record in tour-level finals, including titles in Adelaide and Linz this year. Her only loss in a final came against Daria Kasatkina in Ningbo in 2024.

CategoryDetails
NationalityRussia
Age18 (29 April 2007)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking8
Career High5 (14 July 2025)
Elo Ranking10 (Rating: 2038)
Tour level titles5

Kostyuk Eyes Biggest Career Title

Marta Kostyuk defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 to reach the final in Madrid. She was broken four times but responded strongly by breaking her opponent six times to control the match. 

With this victory, she becomes the first Ukrainian to reach the Madrid final since the tournament began in 2009. She is also the third Ukrainian to reach a WTA 1000 final after Elina Svitolina and Anhelina Kalinina. 

The 23-year-old was sidelined for two months after an injury at the Australian Open and struggled on her return during the Sunshine Double, with early losses including defeats to Elena Rybakina. 

However, she has rediscovered her form on clay, winning all 11 of her matches this season on the surface, including the title in Rouen. 

Kostyuk has now reached five tour-level finals in her career, winning two of them, both at WTA 250 level in Austin 2023 and Rouen earlier this year. On clay, she holds a 1-1 record in finals and will now look to improve that in Madrid.

CategoryDetails
NationalityUkraine
Age23 (28 June 2002)
PlaysRight-handed
World Ranking23
Career High16 (17 June 2024)
Elo Ranking12 (Rating: 1972)
Tour level titles2

Verdict

Mirra Andreeva has put together a strong week, reaching both the singles and doubles finals, but the workload could catch up with her. Marta Kostyuk, on the other hand, comes in confident after her earlier win in this matchup and brings solid momentum, giving her the edge here.

Best Bet1: Marta Kostyuk Match Winner @16/13 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 20.5 Total Games @7/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kostyuk -1.5 Handicap Games @13/9 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Marta Kostyuk
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Mirra Andreeva v Marta Kostyuk

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