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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac Live Stream & Betting Tips - Machac to Upset the Odds at ATP Rome

john-eastwood
John Eastwood
Editor
Last updated: Wed 06 May 2026 11:56
The ATP Rome clash between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Tomas Machac promises to be a long, tightly contested match. Although Tsitsipas showed signs of improvement in Madrid, his recent inconsistencies make it difficult to back him confidently. Machac thrives in protracted battles and poses a significant threat to Tsitsipas, especially with his proven record of going the distance in matches. The recommendation is to side with Machac for the upset, expect an extended match, and explore betting options like Machac winning or the match going over 29.5 games.
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John Eastwood 06 May 2026
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  • Machac has gone the distance in 8 of his last 10 matches
  • Tsitsipas is coming off a 6-7 7-6 7-6 defeat to Casper Ruud
  • I am expecting another long match at the Italian Open
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Stefanos Tsitsipas Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in 4 sets at the 2026 Australian Open (Getty)

Stefanos Tsitsipas showed some improvement in Madrid but I remain unwilling to back the Greek as a favourite. I think this will be a long match, Tomas Machac with the weapons to emerge victorious.


 Stefanos Tsitsipas Tomas Machac
Nationality Greece Czechia
Age 27 (12 August 1998) 25 (13 October 2000)
Height 6'4" (1.93m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 75 41
Career High 3 (January 2018) 20 (March 2025)
ATP Tour Titles 12 2
2026 ATP Tour Titles 0 1
ATP Rome Best Result Runner-Up (2022) Third Round (2025)

HTH


Stefanos Tsitsipas is 1-1 against Tomas Machac, both meetings coming on hard courts.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2026 Australian Open Hard R64 Machac 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6
2023 Vienna Hard R16 Tsitsipas 6-3 4-6 7-5

Tsitsipas Down to World No.75


Stefanos Tsitsipas has been on the slide this year, reaching one quarter-final which came in Doha. He lost his opening two matches on clay.

The Greek showed some improvement in Madrid, getting past lucky loser Patrick Kypson in 3 sets before a 6-2 7-5 victory over Alexander Bublik.

The 27-year-old eased past Daniel Merida Aguilar before blowing a great chance in the fourth round. He couldn’t convert two match points in a 6-7 7-6 7-6 defeat against Casper Ruud.

Tsitsipas' mental fragility continues to be a problem since dropping out of the Top 10 just over a year ago. 

Machac Form Used to Long Matches


Tomas Machac won the Adelaide International in January but couldn’t kick on, losing four of his final five matches on hard courts to drop out of the Top 50.

The Czech has seen some mixed results on clay, beating Francisco Cerundolo in Monte Carlo before a 6-1 6-7 6-3 third round defeat to Jannik Sinner. He then lost to Andrey Rublev in the Barcelona Open quarter-finals.

The 25-year-old overcame a slow start in Madrid, coming back to beat Francisco Comesana in 3 sets. He served for the match against Cameron Norrie but couldn’t close it out, going down 6-2 6-7 7-6 in a thriller.

Just four of Machac's previous 16 completed matches have ended in straight sets.

Verdict

I can back Stefanos Tsitsipas as a favourite, especially after losing to Tomas Machac in January. The Czech loves a long match and can drag Tsitsipas into an extended battle in Rome.

Best Bet1: Tomas Machac Win Winner @6/5 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 29.5 Games Total Games @23/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Tomas Machac Win 2-1 Set Betting @19/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Tomas Machac Win
Winner
@6/5 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

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Over 29.5 Games
Total Games
@23/10 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Tomas Machac Win 2-1
Set Betting
@19/5 - 1 Unit
Bet £20 Get £10
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Bet at Star Sports

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