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Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL Betting Tips - Pies to cover big line in Round 16

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026 14:53
Collingwood Magpies are strong favourites heading into their clash with the Richmond Tigers, driven by superior form and standout performances from Nick Daicos and Jordan de Goey. Collingwood remains unbeaten against lower-ranked teams, while Richmond continues to struggle for points and results, compounded by injuries. Daicos' disposal dominance and de Goey's goal-scoring streak underline Collingwood's edge. The verdict recommends backing Collingwood to cover the line, with both Daicos and de Goey as player prop highlights. Expect the Magpies to boost their finals hopes with a decisive win.
Adam Cusworth 24 Jun 2026
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  • Collingwood are tipped to beat Richmond convincingly, covering the line.
  • Nick Daicos (35+ disposals) & Jordan de Goey (multiple goals) are standout bets.
  • Richmond struggle for points, averaging just 65 per game this season.
daicos de goey
Jordan De Goey and Nick Daicos to star (Getty Images)

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers Verdict


Collingwood are tipped to record a clear-cut win over Richmond to give their finals chance a big boost. The Tigers are struggling for points so take the Magpies to cover the line with Nick Daicos and Jordan de Goey the key men. 

  • Richmond are averaging just 65 points per game this season.
  • Collingwood are unbeaten this season against sides below them on the ladder.
  • Nick Daicos has had 35+ disposals in his past four matches.
  • Jordan de Goey comes off 26 disposals and three goals.

Head to Head Stats


Collingwood have won the past three between the two sides, with those coming by an average margin of 25 points.

Collingwood Magpies Form - Pies Chasing Top 8 Spot


Collingwood come in with a 6-7-1 win/loss/draw record. Since splitting their Round 8 fixture against Hawthorn at 93 apiece, they have won just two of six, but there were positive signs in the 26-point victory over Port Adelaide last weekend.

Nick Daicos was once again a massive accumulator in that match with 41 disposals and has had 35+ in his past four. Josh Daicos had 30 disposals and has hit that mark in his past two, while Jordan de Goey had a huge night with 26 disposals and three goals. 

De Goey has kicked 2+ goals in his past two, while Tim Membrey has booted three goals in two of his past three.

Collingwood have a strong record against the weaker sides and are unbeaten in five matches this season against sides ranked below them on the ladder.

Richmond Tigers Form - Points Struggle For Tigers


Richmond have won just two matches this season - an 11-point win over West Coast in Round 8, as well as an 18-point triumph against Essendon in Round 11.

They were given a brutal reality check by Sydney a fortnight ago when going down by 114 points prior to the bye and returned with a 35-point loss at the hands of Brisbane before going down by 25 points to North Melbourne last weekend.

Richmond won the inside 50 count against North Melbourne (48-46) but could manage just six goals for the match. They are averaging just 65 points per game this season. 

Noah Balta kicked two against the Kangaroos, while Steely Green and Seth Campbell share the lead in the club's goalkicking table with just 14 goals each for the season.

The Tigers continue to show strong effort through their younger players but are struggling to maintain intensity and execution across four quarters against quality opposition. Their injury-hit list has forced inexperienced players into major roles and they have often been overrun late in games.

Jayden Short is Richmond's leading disposal winner, averaging 25 per game and coming off 29 against North Melbourne. Tom Brown and Sam Banks had 26 against the Kangaroos.

Collingwood Magpies Team News


There were no injuries for the Magpies to come out of the win against Port Adelaide. Scott Pendlebury is likely to come back in after being managed, but Darcy Moore and Brayden Maynard remain on the sidelines.

Richmond Tigers Team News


There were no injuries for Richmond against North Melbourne. Jacob Hopper missed and a decision on his availability will be made during the week.

Hugo Ralphsmith is set to return from suspension, while Harry Armstrong, Tom Lynch, Sam Lalor and Judson Clarke are edging closer to returning from injury.

Verdict

Magpies are backed to cover the hefty line with Daicos and de Goey the focus in the player props markets.
Best Bet1: Collingwood -37.5 Line @7/8 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Jordan De Goey To Score 2+ goals @17/20 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Nick Daicos To Have 35+ disposals @17/25 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Collingwood -37.5
Line
@7/8 - 1 Unit
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