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Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan Predictions & Tips - Goals Expected in AFC Elite Matchup

ryan-allan
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Last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026 16:21
Buriram United welcomes Beijing Guoan to Chang Arena for a highly anticipated AFC Champions League match. Both sides arrive in strong form, with Buriram unbeaten in their last ten and Beijing on a 17-match run without defeat. Historical meetings favor Beijing, but both teams have demonstrated attacking strengths and vulnerability at the back. The article predicts a high-scoring contest, highlighting 'Both Teams to Score' (BTTS) and over 2.5 goals as the top tips.
Ryan Allan 16 minutes ago
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  • Buriram United host Beijing Guoan AFC Champions League Elite clash
  • BTTS tipped at Chang Arena in Tuesday’s contest at Chang Arena
  • Get our Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan tips in the AFC Champions League 
fabio abreu
Fabio Abreu of Beijing Guoan in action during a training session (Getty Images)

Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan Predictions

Buriram United welcome Beijing Guoan to Chang Arena for an AFC Champions League encounter on Tuesday.

Both teams are in good form, and a likely high-scoring contest should see goals at either end.

BTTS is my best bet, while I also expect over 2.5 goals scored.

Goals Expected in Thailand


  • Buriram United have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 matches
  • Buriram United scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last 5 home matches (AFC Elite)
  • Beijing Guoan have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 matches
  • Beijing Guoan scored an average of 2.5 goals per game in their last 9 matches

Beijing Hold the Head-to-Head Advantage

Buriram United and Beijing Guoan will meet for the third time on Tuesday. Beijing won both previous encounters in 2019. 

Beijing claimed a 3-1 victory at Chang Arena before securing a 2-0 home win later that month.

Buriram United Bag Late Victory

Buriram United return to AFC Elite action after a dramatic 3-2 win against Rayong at Chang Arena on Saturday.

Thanakrit Chotmuangpa’s 94th-minute goal secured a thrilling victory for Mario Silva’s side. Joao Felipe had twice put the visitors ahead before being sent off late in the second half.

The Thai side made hard work of securing victory despite dominating the contest. Buriram had 71% possession, outshot Rayong 27-6 and recorded an xG of 3.11 compared to the visitors’ 0.27.

Before last weekend’s comeback win, Buriram had been held to draws in three of their last four fixtures.

Despite a lack of recent victories, United are unbeaten in their last ten competitive fixtures since May. The hosts scored at least one goal in all but one of their last 14 matches. 

Buriram began their AFC Champions League Elite campaign with a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Johor Darul Ta’zim last month. Neil Etheridge saved a late Bergson penalty to secure a point in Malaysia.

Beijing Guoan Ease Past Qingdao

Beijing Guoan arrive in Thailand in high spirits after a 3-0 win at Qingdao Hainiu on Friday.

Fabio Abreu’s early penalty gave Beijing a first-half advantage before Serginho doubled Guoan's lead in the 32nd minute. 

Abreu added his second after the break to complete a comfortable road victory.

Nick Montgomery’s side were worthy winners on the day. Guoan controlled possession (65%) and registered seven shots on target to Qingdao’s three. 

Despite having fewer attempts overall (12-14), Beijing created the better chances with a final xG of 2.40 compared to Qingdao’s 1.14.

An impressive run of form has seen the CSL outfit remain unbeaten in 17 games since May. More recently, Beijing won three and drew three of their last six fixtures.

Strong in the forward areas, Guoan scored three or more in seven of their last nine matches, including a 3-1 win against Pohang Steelers in their AFC Champions League Elite opener last month.

Montgomery’s men have been less convincing at the back, conceding in nine of their last 13 matches.

Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan Team News

Buriram United: (3-4-1-2) Neil Etheridge; Jakkapan Praisuwan, Uros Radakovic, Nathan Cardoso; Kingsley Schindler, Phitiwat Sukjitthammakul, Theerathon Bunmathan, Sasalak Haiprakhon; Thanakrit Chotmuangpak; Stefan Schimmer, Supachai Chaided.

Buriram boss Silva has some selection issues to deal with. Kenny Dougall is suspended after his red card against Johor Darul Ta’zim on matchday one.

Ruben Sanchez remains a long-term absentee with a cruciate ligament injury.

Supachai Chaided and Thanakrit Chotmuangpak could return to the starting lineup after both scored in substitute appearances last weekend. 

Beijing Guoan: (4-4-2) Hou Sen; Tze-Nam Yue, Uros Spajic, Guilherme Ramos, Bai Yang; Cao Yongjing, Serginho, Aboubacar Konte, Lin Liangming; Fabio Abreu, Zhang Yuning.
Head coach Montgomery is likely to retain confidence in the same side that eased past Qingdao. 

The CSL outfit have no reported injury or suspension issues.

Fabio Abreu should continue to lead the attack on Tuesday. The Angolan forward has scored 11 goals in 23 appearances this season, including two last weekend.

Verdict

Buriram have a solid home record in this competition, but Beijing have been in excellent form domestically.

With both teams strong in attack, goals should be on the cards in Thailand.

I have stakes on BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored on Tuesday.

Best Bet1: BTTS Both Teams to Score @11/18 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals @1/1 at dabble - 2 Units
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ryan-allan
Ryan Allan

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Analyst

Ryan is a Barcelona-based football fanatic with 10+ years of experience as a sports writer and statistical analyst. He covers a number of leagues including from his native Scotland, Italy, Germany and more.


A huge fan of the goal markets, he specialises in BTTS and over 2.5 goal picks from the MLS to the Bundesliga and beyond.

He has also been featured on MightyTips and you can find more from Ryan on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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