Leeds vs Burnley Predictions & Tips - Whites to Win in the Premier League
Leeds United, known for their strong home performances, are tipped to move closer to Premier League safety with a win against a struggling Burnley side. Analysts expect the match to be high-scoring, given Burnley's defensive issues. Recommended bets include Leeds to win with over 2.5 goals and total goals over 3.5, suggesting an open game with plenty of action for fans and punters alike.
- Leeds have scored 7 goals in 3 EPL games
- Burnley are on a 9 match winless streak
- A high-scoring Premier League home win is tipped
Leeds vs Burnley Preview
Leeds are in solid Premier League form and scoring goals. Relegated Burnley are often outplayed and the Whites can take advantage with a high-scoring home win.
- Leeds vs Burnley Preview
- Key Stats - Leeds in Good Home Form
- H2H - Whites on Top
- Leeds Moving Towards Premier League Safety
- Burnley Have the EPL’s Worst Defence
- Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Key Stats - Leeds in Good Home Form
- Leeds have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
- Leeds have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 consecutive EPL games.
- Burnley have lost their last 4 matches.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Leeds | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 15th | 19th |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 44 (1.29) | 34 (1.00) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 51 (1.50) | 68 (2.00) |
H2H - Whites on Top
Leeds have a 34-20 advantage against Burnley, alongside 13 draws.
Leeds Moving Towards Premier League Safety
Daniel Farke’s Leeds are six points clear of the Premier League’s relegation zone. The Yorkshire side are undefeated in five league matches.
The Whites boosted their survival chances with back-to-back wins over Man United 2-1 and Wolves 3-0. Leeds dominated both games with 2.57 and 2.82 XG.
That mini-winning run in the Premier League ended with a 2-2 comeback draw away at Bournemouth.
Farke’s side then lost 1-0 against Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final. Leeds conceded the winner after 23 minutes and had 10 shots and two big chances.
Burnley Have the EPL’s Worst Defence
Burnley have struggled in the 2025/26 Premier League and have already been relegated. The Clarets have conceded a league high of 68 goals this season, with 42 let in on the road.
The Lancashire side’s relegation was confirmed following a four-match losing streak. This run started with defeats against Fulham 3-1, Brighton 2-0 and Nottingham Forest 4-1.
Scott Parker’s outfit lost 1-0 at home against Man City last time out. Burnley were 1-0 down after just five minutes and allowed 3.36 XG.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Leeds (3-4-2-1): Karl Darlow; Joe Rondon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk; James Justin, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Jayden Bogle; Brenden Aaronson, Noah Okafor; Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Midfielder Ilia Gruev has been ruled out for the season with a meniscus injury.
Gabriel Gudmundsson was injured in the Chelsea game and is doubtful here. Daniel Farke explained that the defender sustained a hamstring injury and said, “It seems to be a hamstring injury.
“At least it looks like this. So of course, not great news. We have to assess him right now. Can't give you a timeframe, but it seems to be a hamstring.”
Burnley (5-4-1): Martin Dubravka; Kyle Walker, Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman; Loum Tchaouna, James Ward-Prowse, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming
Midfielder Hannibal Mejbri, attacker Zeki Amdouni and Axel Tuanzebe could return to the squad for the Leeds clash.
Defenders Jordan Beyer and Connor Roberts and midfielder Josh Cullen are ruled out due to injury.
Verdict
Leeds are a good home side and can move closer to Premier League safety with a win against out-of-form Burnley. The Clarets concede a lot and a home win with goals is predicted.
Leeds Win & Over 2.5
Full Time Result & Total Goals
@11/10 - 2 Units
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Over 3.5 Goals
Total Goals
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