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Ethiopia vs Sao Tome & Principe Betting Tips - Ethiopia to dominate AFCON qualifier

ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth
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Last updated: Mon 30 Mar 2026 10:10
Ethiopia triumphed over Sao Tome & Principe 3-0 in the first leg of their Africa Cup of Nations preliminary-round qualifier, showcasing both offensive prowess and control. Ethiopia’s Kenean Markineh and Abel Yalew spearheaded the success, with Yalew scoring twice. Sao Tome & Principe, who have struggled defensively, conceding 15 goals in their last five matches, face an uphill battle to overturn the deficit in the second leg. Given Ethiopia's recent win and home advantage, they are poised for another convincing victory.
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Ralph Staniforth 30 Mar 2026
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  • Ethiopia leads 3-0 after defeating Sao Tome & Principe in the first leg.
  • Sao Tome & Principe has conceded 15 goals in their last five matches.
  • Ethiopia is expected to leverage home advantage for another win.
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Ethiopia
Ethiopia easily defeated Sao Tome & Principe in the opening leg (Getty Images)

Ethiopia cruised to victory in the first leg against Sao Tome & Principe and I very much expect the same this time around.

Key Stats - Sao Tome & Principe Leaky at the Back


  • Ethiopia have won 2 of their last 5 fixtures.
  • Ethiopia have scored 5 goals in 5 matches.
  • Ethiopia have conceded 7 goals in 5 games. 
  • Sao Tome & Principe have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures.
  • Sao Tome & Principe have scored 3 goals in 5 games.
  • Sao Tome & Principe have conceded 15 goals in 5 matches.

Head to Head


Ethiopia lead 2-1 in three matches against Sao Tome & Principe.

Ethiopia in Control of the Tie


Ethiopia took control of their Africa Cup of Nations preliminary round qualifier against Sao Tome & Principe last weekend, winning 3-0 away.

Before that victory, Ethiopia had little success in four FIFA World Cup qualifiers in September and October last year. They lost 2-0 to Egypt, 2-0 to Sierra Leone, and beat Guinea-Bissau 1-0 before losing 3-1 to Burkina Faso. 

The Walia Ibex have won two of their last five matches, with three defeats. They scored five goals and conceded seven. 

Ethiopia have home-ground advantage for this clash, and will start confidently in the second leg after their recent performance against Sao Tome & Principe.

Sao Tome & Principe Defensive Problems Persist


Sao Tome & Principe had no answer in their AFCON first-leg preliminary round qualifier against Ethiopia last weekend, losing 3-0.  

Before that result, Sao Tome & Principe lost 3-2 to Equatorial Guinea, 3-0 to Namibia, and 6-0 to Tunisia before edging Malawi 1-0 in four FIFA World Cup qualification matches between September and October last year.

The True Patriots have secured one victory in their last five fixtures, with four defeats. They scored three goals and conceded 15.

Sao Tome & Principe look unlikely to turn the tables on Ethiopia, as their opponents have a three-goal cushion and they are playing the second leg at home.

Ethiopia vs Sao Tome & Principe News & Squads


Ethiopia

Kenean Markineh scored the opening goal last weekend.

Abel Yalew scored a brace against Sao Tome & Principe. 

Goalkeepers: Abubeker Nura, Firew Getahun, Seid Habtamu
Defenders: Alembirhan Yigzaw, Asrat Tonjo, Yared Kassaye, Abduselem Yesouf, Yared Baye, Ramkel James, Mignot Debebe, Girum Hagos
Midfielders: Habtamu Terkeste, Gatuoch Panom, Biruk Endale, Bizuayehu Seife, Wogene Gezahegn, Binyam Ayten
Forwards: Chernet Gugsa, Mesfin Tafesse, Abubeker Sanni, Kabbe Bizuneh, Abel Yalew, Kenean Markineh

Sao Tome & Principe 

Goalkeepers: Pedro Mateus, Saiel Ramos, Yaniel Bonfim
Defenders: Rogério Fernandes, Adjakson Ramos, Gilberto Almeida, Edley Montoia, Ricardo Fernandes, Adjeil Neves
Midfielders: Paulo Lima, Nicola Bragança, Joel Neves, Waldimilson Santos
Forwards: Marcos Barbeiro, Kelve Semedo, Pedro Monteiro, Sérgio Male, Luis Costa (Dola), Hélder Samuel (Samuca), Ricardo Gué Cardoso, Ronaldo Lumungo, Gil Carvalho, Luis Leal

Verdict

Ethiopia won the first leg 3-0 and given the visitors knack for conceding plenty of goals, I am backing another 3-0 win.

Best Bet1: Ethiopia Win to Nil @1/1 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 2.5/BTTS No Total Goals/BTTS @9/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ethiopia wiN 3-0 Correct Score @11/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Ethiopia
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Bet at bet365
Ethiopia wiN 3-0
Correct Score
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Bet at Star Sports

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