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Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli Tips & Live Stream – Visitors Underestimated in 2. Bundesliga

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026 22:31
St Pauli are among the top candidates for promotion this season and enter Friday's match with confidence, having won their previous five competitive meetings against Holstein Kiel. This strong head-to-head record positions them as favorites in the upcoming game. The key takeaway: St Pauli, based on recent performance, are likely to maintain their dominance over Holstein Kiel and further boost their promotion ambitions.
Vedran Ostojic 3 hours ago
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  • St Pauli are among top promotion contenders this season
  • We are backing them to beat Holstein Kiel on Friday
  • Watch Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli live in 2. Bundesliga
St Pauli have won their last 5 matches against Holstein Kiel (Getty)
brand Holstein Kiel v St Pauli Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Soccer > Germany Bundesliga II. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Geo-restrictions apply. You must have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Over 18s only. T&Cs apply.

Both sides started the new season with a draw, but St Pauli performed significantly better in pre-season. They dominated Kiel in recent h2h matches, so I see value in backing the visitors here. 

Key Stats  


  • Holstein Kiel have lost 5 of their last 9 matches. 
  • Holstein Kiel have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 9 matches (including pre-season). 
  • St Pauli have won their last 5 matches against Holstein Kiel. 
  • St Pauli have won 4 of their last 7 matches (including pre-season). 
  • St Pauli have seen BTTS in 11 of their last 12 matches (including pre-season). 

79-Year-Old Rivalry 


These two sides locked horns 89 times so far and St Pauli have a 40-26 advantage in terms of victories. 

Kiel Tagged Warm Favorites 


Holstein Kiel looked amazing in the first half of the 2. Bundesliga opening round against Darmstadt last weekend, building a 2-0 lead. However, they conceded two unanswered goals and had to settle for a 2-2 draw here. 

It was an unfortunate outcome for them, needing the clash with 1.78-0.85 expected goals, and 6-3 shots on target. Jonas Meffert missed a great opportunity to seal victory just before Darmstadt scored an equalizer. 

Holstein Kiel didn’t play an important role in 2. Bundesliga last season, finishing in 12th place with 41 points after 34 rounds, just four points above the red zone. 

St Pauli Hoping for an Express Return to the Top Flight 


Like their upcoming opponents, St Pauli also had a lead in the opening round against Greuther Furth, Marcus Mathisen breaking the deadlock right after the break, but ultimately won just a point in a 1-1 draw. 

The Neighborhood Kickers had good results in pre-season, recording victories against Altona 6-2, Emden 3-1, Babelsberg 4-1 and GOrica 2-1, while losing just one encounter against AFC Bournemouth 4-1. 

They competed in Bundesliga in the previous campaign but finished last with 26 points after 34 rounds, scoring just 29 goals. New head manager Marcel Rapp was appointed earlier this summer with a goal to help them regain elite status. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Holstein Kiel (3-5-2) Timon Weiner; Timo Becker, Patrick Erras, Max Geschwill; Marvin Schulz, Lewis Holtby, Armin Gigovic, Magnus Knudsen, Alexander Bernhardsson; Phil Harres, Fiete Arp

Hosts are missing fullback Lasse Rosenboom as he continues his recovery from a ligament injury.

St. Pauli (3-4-2-1) Ben Voll; David Nemeth, Marcus Mathisen, Adam Dzwigala; Michal Pyrka, Magnus Rasmussen, Joel Fujita, Lars Ritzka; Branimir Hrgota, Danel Sinani; Martijn Kaars

St. Pauli are travelling with a thinned defensive unit, missing key center-back Karol Mets and wingback Manolis Saliakas alongside injured midfielder Stefan Teitur Thordarson.

2. Bundesliga Live Streams

Verdict

St Pauli are among main candidates to earn promotion this season. They defeated Holstein Kiel in their last five official h2h matches, so I like their chances of winning on Friday. 

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes Both Teams to Score @4/6 at Hollywoodbets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: St Pauli Win Full-Time Result @19/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: St Pauli Win 2-1 Correct Score @10/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
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Bet at bet365
St Pauli Win 2-1
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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Located in Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast with a particular love for the English Premier League. He's been writing about sports online for almost a decade with a degree in literature and sports journalism. The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, Serie A & Bundesliga) and basketball (Euroleague & NBA).

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