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Manchester City vs Brighton Betting Tips & Prediction – City to End Their EPL Winless Run

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Tue 06 Jan 2026 17:33
Brighton's solid scoring potential makes them a formidable team when facing Manchester City, yet Pep Guardiola's squad remains the favorite for victory in this matchup. The recommendation suggests that Manchester City's superior team quality will likely lead to a win, but both teams are expected to score (BTTS - Both Teams To Score). This prediction highlights the strong offense of both sides, making for an exciting and competitive game.
Vedran Ostojic 06 Jan 2026
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  • Manchester City were unlucky in their last two games
  • We are backing them to return to winning ways on Wednesday
  • Check our full match preview for Manchester City vs Brighton 
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Manchester City tipped to beat Brighton (Getty)

Brighton might take advantage of City’s injury-plagued back line to find the net, but Pep Guardiola’s side is expected to return to winning ways after two unfortunate EPL draws. 

Key Stats  


  • Man City have won 11 of their last 13 home matches. 
  • Man City have won 8 of their last 9 home matches against Brighton. 
  • Man City have seen BTTS in 2 of their last 3 matches. 
  • Man City have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches against Brighton. 
  • Brighton have seen BTTS in their last 2 away matches. 

City Hold the Historical Edge 


Manchester City have been more successful in previous head-to-head meetings with Brighton, recording 19 wins from 31 encounters, while the Seagulls claimed eight victories. 

Guardiola’s Side Creating Plenty but Leaving Points Behind 


Manchester City have suffered a couple of frustrating setbacks in the Premier League recently, dropping six points behind leaders Arsenal after 20 rounds, despite remaining the league’s most efficient attack with 44 goals scored. 

The Cityzens dominated pitch and created the better chances in their 2026 opener against Sunderland, but the match finished goalless. Guardiola’s side posted 2.24-0.88 xG, enjoyed 68% possession and outshot the visitors 14-10. 

Another slip followed last weekend at the Etihad against Chelsea. Tijani Reijnders put City ahead just before half-time, but a stoppage-time concession forced them to settle for a 1-1 draw. 

Brighton Regained Confidence 


Brighton are currently positioned mid-table in the Premier League with 28 points from 20 matches, having produced mixed results throughout December. 

After pushing league leaders Arsenal in a narrow 2-1 defeat, the Seagulls closed out 2025 with a 2-2 away draw at West Ham, twice coming from behind through goals from Danny Welbeck (who also missed a penalty) and Joel Veltman. 

Last weekend, Fabian Hürzeler’s side delivered a solid home performance against Burnley, winning 2-0 while limiting the visitors to just 0.30 xG. Georginio Rutter and Yasin Ayari were on the scoresheet. 

Predicted Lineups & Team News 


Manchester City (4-3-3) Gianluigi Donnarumma, Rico Lewis, Abdukodir Khusanov, Nathan Ake, Nico OReilly, Rodri, Rayan Cherki, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland 

Man City’s injury list got lengthier with recent injuries of Josko Gvardiol and Ruben Dias, joining John Stones, Oscar Bobb, Mateo Kovacic and Savinho on the sidelines. Omar Marmoush and Rayan Ait Nouri are on international duty at AFCON. 

Brighton (4-2-3-1) Bart Verbruggen, Joel Veltman, Lewis Dunk, Jan Paul van Hecke, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Gomez, Yasin Ayari, Brajan Gruda, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Stefanos Kostoulas 

Solly March is unavailable due to a knee injury for Brighton, Yankuba Minteh out with a thigh injury, while Mats Wieffer is doubtful. Carlos Baleba is with his national team at AFCON. 

Verdict

Brighton have solid scoring potential and I like their chances of finding the net in Manchester, but hosts are ahead in terms of quality by far. Pep Guardiola’s side is tipped to win with BTTS. 

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